Number 10

In Wild Money under the 5/35 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 1,034 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

169times drawn · chance expected 148 +1.89σ

14draws waiting · a wait this long: 13% for any number

6.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

34longest completed wait · 65% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 169 times in 1,034 draws against 147.7 expected, +1.89σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 169 times in 1,034 draws · average wait 6.1 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 14 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest45 · chance 46.1
2nd smallest84 · chance 75.4
3rd smallest32 · chance 39.4
4th smallest8 · chance 7.7
5th smallest0 · chance 0.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 19.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

32 9 29 2 11 15

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-10-13	15	3rd	6 7 10 29 33
2016-09-08	4	1st	10 14 16 18 20
2016-08-30	5	4th	2 7 9 10 31
2016-08-18	2	3rd	4 9

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-09-12	1	3rd	4 9 10 26 30
2015-09-10	3	2nd	2 10 16 20 21
2015-09-03	9	2nd	8 10 21 25 32
2015-08-13	1	3rd	5 7 10 11 16
2015-08-11	1	2nd	7 10 18 27 30
2015-08-08	10	4th	3 6 8 10 34
2015-07-16	3	2nd	1 10 17 23 29
2015-07-09	7	2nd	1 10 11 25 32
2015-06-23	5	1st	10 13 28 29 33
2015-06-11	6	2nd	3 10 18 23 25
2015-05-28	1	1st	10 16 25 32 33
2015-05-26	10	2nd	5 10 23 29 31
2015-05-02	7	2nd	2 10 18 25 30
2015-04-16	1	3rd	1 3 10 15 27
2015-04-14	9	3rd	4 7 10 14 20
2015-03-24	1	2nd	7 10 13 16 18
2015-03-21	1	2nd	2 10 11 26 33
2015-03-19	1	2nd	7 10 17 19 29
2015-03-17	4	2nd	5 10 13 16 22
2015-03-07	3	2nd	2 10 15 33 34
2015-02-28	3	2nd	1 10 16 17 21
2015-02-21	5	1st	10 13 22 32 35
2015-02-10	5	4th	2 7 9 10 26
2015-01-29	2	2nd	6 10 22 29 35
2015-01-24	3	2nd	4 10 14 22 25
2015-01-17	1	3rd	1 6 10 29 33
2015-01-15	3	2nd	3 10 13 19 35
2015-01-08	1	2nd	2 10 23 25 29
2015-01-06	10	1st	10 20 21 31 34
2014-12-13	1	1st	10 17 23 26 29
2014-12-11	4	2nd	9 10 13 17 20
2014-12-02	5	1st	10 11 26 27 32
2014-11-20	1	3rd	4 9 10 29 32
2014-11-18	5	2nd	9 10 13 16 21
2014-11-06	1	3rd	4 8 10 15 18
2014-11-04	4	2nd	3 10 15 21 32
2014-10-25	1	2nd	6 10 16 21 35
2014-10-23	10	2nd	9 10 19 31 32
2014-09-30	1	2nd	9 10 11 19 22
2014-09-27	5	2nd	7 10 27 30 32
2014-09-16	3	2nd	7 10 11 28 30
2014-09-09	4	1st	10 19 27 29 30
2014-08-30	8	3rd	3 9 10 26 28
2014-08-12	2	2nd	1 10 31 32 35
2014-08-07	6	1st	10 14 24 32 35
2014-07-24	6	1st	10 14 18 21 35
2014-07-10	2	3rd	1 5 10 13 24
2014-07-05	14	3rd	7 9 10 13 14
2014-06-03	8	2nd	1 10 17 30 35
2014-05-15	5	2nd	5 10 15 25 26
2014-05-03	1	3rd	1 2 10 14 30
2014-05-01	20	1st	10 23 24 26 27
2014-03-15	9	3rd	6 7 10 15 17
2014-02-22	1	2nd	2 10 16 24 33
2014-02-20	4	2nd	6 10 23 32 33
2014-02-11	8	1st	10 13 22 23 26
2014-01-23	5	2nd	4 10 11 18 31
2014-01-11	2	1st	10 11 14 18 20
2014-01-07	6	2nd	8 10 20 28 32
2013-12-24	12	3rd	2 3 10 12 29
2013-11-26	1	2nd	6 10 11 25 29
2013-11-23	4	2nd	2 10 17 23 30
2013-11-14	3	2nd	5 10 11 19 28
2013-11-07	11	3rd	5 7 10 11 22
2013-10-12	2	2nd	9 10 15 26 28
2013-10-08	9	3rd	1 7 10 13 22
2013-09-17	2	2nd	5 10 13 18 27
2013-09-12	9	1st	10 11 15 25 35
2013-08-22	2	3rd	4 9 10 11 29
2013-08-17	13	2nd	8 10 12 20 33
2013-07-18	1	2nd	3 10 17 24 31
2013-07-16	3	2nd	5 10 15 17 33
2013-07-09	2	3rd	6 8 10 18 28
2013-07-04	18	2nd	5 10 13 20 28
2013-05-23	6	2nd	2 10 11 17 32
2013-05-09	4	1st	10 20 21 30 32
2013-04-30	6	2nd	4 10 13 19 23
2013-04-16	1	2nd	4 10 12 22 26
2013-04-13	1	2nd	9 10 16 30 32
2013-04-11	10	2nd	9 10 11 17 22
2013-03-19	1	1st	10 19 27 32 35
2013-03-16	3	1st	10 15 28 33 34
2013-03-09	4	3rd	1 8 10 14 31
2013-02-28	3	2nd	6 10 22 33 34
2013-02-21	4	1st	10 23 24 27 28
2013-02-12	5	1st	10 14 18 19 23
2013-01-31	16	1st	10 15 17 18 29
2012-12-25	22	3rd	7 9 10 27 29
2012-11-03	2	1st	10 19 24 28 33
2012-10-30	17	3rd	5 9 10 12 24
2012-09-20	4	1st	10 15 28 29 34
2012-09-11	11	2nd	1 10 13 27 31
2012-08-16	5	2nd	5 10 13 21 31
2012-08-02	1	2nd	9 10 15 21 29
2012-07-31	2	1st	10 12 20 22 33
2012-07-26	5	3rd	4 5 10 12 29
2012-07-14	5	1st	10 16 22 25 31
2012-07-03	4	2nd	7 10 19 21 30
2012-06-23	5	1st	10 16 20 23 29
2012-06-12	6	4th	1 3 5 10 23
2012-05-29	7	3rd	2 8 10 22 25
2012-05-12	5	1st	10 11 17 23 34
2012-05-01	9	1st	10 14 19 28 29
2012-04-10	11	3rd	2 8 10 12 19
2012-03-15	10	2nd	9 10 24 31 32
2012-02-21	1	4th	1 2 6 10 11
2012-02-18	2	1st	10 13 22 32 34
2012-02-14	10	1st	10 23 25 29 30
2012-01-21	10	1st	10 18 19 22 35
2011-12-29	2	3rd	4 7 10 24 35
2011-12-24	6	1st	10 25 27 30 33
2011-12-10	1	3rd	8 9 10 27 30
2011-12-08	6	2nd	5 10 24 34 35
2011-11-24	6	2nd	4 10 18 21 25
2011-11-10	2	2nd	3 10 15 16 35
2011-11-05	9	2nd	3 10 17 29 31
2011-10-15	10	1st	10 21 26 27 32
2011-09-22	1	1st	10 29 31 32 35
2011-09-20	9	2nd	2 10 26 29 32
2011-08-30	21	1st	10 12 15 31 35
2011-07-12	8	3rd	3 9 10 11 15
2011-06-23	2	2nd	9 10 22 31 32
2011-06-18	3	2nd	1 10 19 30 32
2011-06-11	22	2nd	8 10 15 21 28
2011-04-21	4	1st	10 15 18 23 27
2011-04-12	8	2nd	3 10 22 24 28
2011-03-24	1	2nd	2 10 21 23 29
2011-03-22	1	2nd	9 10 15 29 34
2011-03-19	7	3rd	4 5 10 18 27
2011-03-03	8	2nd	3 10 19 23 35
2011-02-12	3	1st	10 19 20 24 33
2011-02-05	28	2nd	9 10 22 30 34
2010-12-02	4	2nd	5 10 20 27 30
2010-11-23	9	2nd	6 10 19 22 31
2010-11-02	3	2nd	5 10 16 31 32
2010-10-26	2	2nd	1 10 31 32 33
2010-10-21	2	2nd	9 10 28 31 33
2010-10-16	5	2nd	1 10 11 25 34
2010-10-05	34	1st	10 12 19 22 35
2010-07-17	15	1st	10 11 15 27 30
2010-06-12	2	3rd	1 9 10 20 35
2010-06-08	7	4th	2 4 8 10 24
2010-05-22	7	2nd	9 10 13 24 34
2010-05-06	10	3rd	4 6 10 12 20
2010-04-13	—	1st	10 17 18 25 33