Number 16

In Wild Money under the 5/35 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 1,034 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

145times drawn · chance expected 148 −0.24σ

9draws waiting · a wait this long: 29% for any number

7.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

35longest completed wait · 53% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 145 times in 1,034 draws against 147.7 expected, −0.24σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 145 times in 1,034 draws · average wait 7.1 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 9 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest18 · chance 12.1
2nd smallest39 · chance 45.4
3rd smallest60 · chance 56.1
4th smallest24 · chance 27.0
5th smallest4 · chance 4.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 17.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

11 30 2 18 25 7

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-10-25	2	2nd	7 16 25 26 32
2016-10-20	4	2nd	15 16 27 31 33
2016-10-11	6	4th	2 4 15 16 28
2016-09-27	1	4th	5 7

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-12-17	11	2nd	13 16 19 26 32
2015-11-21	7	5th	3 6 9 12 16
2015-11-05	7	3rd	9 11 16 17 22
2015-10-20	2	2nd	7 16 20 25 35
2015-10-15	15	4th	1 6 7 16 29
2015-09-10	12	3rd	2 10 16 20 21
2015-08-13	6	5th	5 7 10 11 16
2015-07-30	5	3rd	8 12 16 19 29
2015-07-18	15	3rd	3 11 16 24 35
2015-06-13	2	4th	2 4 15 16 19
2015-06-09	1	2nd	6 16 23 27 33
2015-06-06	4	4th	11 13 15 16 19
2015-05-28	4	2nd	10 16 25 32 33
2015-05-19	6	3rd	2 7 16 24 28
2015-05-05	4	4th	5 9 14 16 31
2015-04-25	10	2nd	13 16 29 30 31
2015-04-02	4	3rd	5 12 16 20 33
2015-03-24	3	4th	7 10 13 16 18
2015-03-17	3	4th	5 10 13 16 22
2015-03-10	2	2nd	1 16 18 29 33
2015-03-05	2	1st	16 18 29 33 34
2015-02-28	6	3rd	1 10 16 17 21
2015-02-14	1	2nd	12 16 23 25 26
2015-02-12	9	2nd	7 16 18 27 30
2015-01-22	1	3rd	8 13 16 17 23
2015-01-20	19	1st	16 27 32 33 35
2014-12-06	3	4th	9 11 14 16 17
2014-11-29	5	2nd	5 16 30 32 35
2014-11-18	9	4th	9 10 13 16 21
2014-10-28	1	2nd	3 16 22 32 34
2014-10-25	6	3rd	6 10 16 21 35
2014-10-11	19	2nd	7 16 20 25 35
2014-08-28	3	3rd	3 11 16 24 34
2014-08-21	5	3rd	2 14 16 28 34
2014-08-09	11	1st	16 17 23 29 30
2014-07-15	16	2nd	15 16 20 22 31
2014-06-07	11	3rd	5 6 16 22 26
2014-05-13	8	1st	16 22 24 33 34
2014-04-24	1	1st	16 18 22 26 30
2014-04-22	1	2nd	12 16 20 21 31
2014-04-19	10	1st	16 17 20 24 25
2014-03-27	8	3rd	1 2 16 17 25
2014-03-08	6	3rd	2 5 16 29 32
2014-02-22	3	3rd	2 10 16 24 33
2014-02-15	9	3rd	1 11 16 19 33
2014-01-25	23	3rd	3 6 16 19 35
2013-12-03	2	3rd	5 15 16 19 22
2013-11-28	11	2nd	2 16 20 21 30
2013-11-02	8	1st	16 23 29 34 35
2013-10-15	6	4th	2 4 7 16 33
2013-10-01	1	3rd	3 8 16 17 30
2013-09-28	3	2nd	12 16 18 28 29
2013-09-21	21	1st	16 20 24 26 30
2013-08-03	6	4th	3 11 15 16 30
2013-07-20	4	3rd	1 3 16 31 35
2013-07-11	6	1st	16 17 24 28 33
2013-06-27	32	3rd	6 13 16 25 26
2013-04-13	4	3rd	9 10 16 30 32
2013-04-04	20	3rd	2 4 16 20 33
2013-02-16	35	4th	1 11 14 16 18
2012-11-27	3	1st	16 17 23 26 28
2012-11-20	8	4th	3 4 8 16 35
2012-11-01	17	3rd	5 15 16 24 31
2012-09-22	2	2nd	12 16 27 31 34
2012-09-18	2	4th	1 13 14 16 27
2012-09-13	11	3rd	4 7 16 28 32
2012-08-18	5	3rd	7 11 16 17 31
2012-08-04	5	1st	16 20 25 27 30
2012-07-24	3	2nd	9 16 25 27 30
2012-07-17	1	5th	7 8 9 15 16
2012-07-14	9	2nd	10 16 22 25 31
2012-06-23	21	2nd	10 16 20 23 29
2012-05-05	1	3rd	11 14 16 26 32
2012-05-03	7	2nd	4 16 21 24 34
2012-04-17	13	3rd	1 4 16 27 34
2012-03-17	6	2nd	2 16 18 29 34
2012-03-03	17	1st	16 20 22 28 33
2012-01-24	2	1st	16 18 27 28 30
2012-01-19	7	3rd	9 13 16 20 21
2012-01-03	21	1st	16 21 22 27 35
2011-11-15	2	3rd	7 13 16 21 25
2011-11-10	3	4th	3 10 15 16 35
2011-11-03	2	3rd	7 15 16 18 33
2011-10-29	2	3rd	12 15 16 26 31
2011-10-25	1	3rd	7 11 16 18 33
2011-10-22	6	2nd	14 16 20 23 26
2011-10-08	2	3rd	4 5 16 17 22
2011-10-04	1	4th	8 11 14 16 29
2011-10-01	11	3rd	2 12 16 24 27
2011-09-06	13	3rd	3 12 16 24 35
2011-08-06	12	4th	7 9 11 16 34
2011-07-09	1	2nd	3 16 19 21 30
2011-07-07	3	4th	1 4 9 16 20
2011-06-30	2	2nd	5 16 17 31 34
2011-06-25	9	3rd	3 13 16 23 31
2011-06-04	1	3rd	2 8 16 30 33
2011-06-02	2	3rd	2 15 16 29 30
2011-05-28	1	2nd	4 16 17 18 23
2011-05-26	32	3rd	3 11 16 27 34
2011-03-12	9	2nd	6 16 18 30 35
2011-02-19	4	2nd	3 16 21 22 34
2011-02-10	7	2nd	5 16 19 23 25
2011-01-25	7	4th	5 13 14 16 24
2011-01-08	2	2nd	4 16 24 25 35
2011-01-04	2	3rd	8 12 16 25 28
2010-12-30	9	3rd	11 13 16 26 29
2010-12-09	11	3rd	4 15 16 17 24
2010-11-13	5	3rd	9 11 16 20 26
2010-11-02	1	3rd	5 10 16 31 32
2010-10-30	5	2nd	4 16 19 20 29
2010-10-19	2	3rd	4 14 16 18 21
2010-10-14	6	3rd	7 15 16 21 34
2010-09-30	3	1st	16 21 27 29 32
2010-09-23	14	3rd	6 11 16 18 21
2010-08-21	2	3rd	8 14 16 23 32
2010-08-17	11	3rd	5 12 16 29 35
2010-07-22	1	3rd	2 12 16 23 28
2010-07-20	7	3rd	11 14 16 18 30
2010-07-03	28	2nd	2 16 18 26 30
2010-04-29	4	3rd	3 15 16 31 34
2010-04-20	—	4th	4 6 7 16 25