Wild Money · every number
15
Number 15 In Wild Money under the 5/35 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 1,034 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).
5/38 + 1/38 · since Apr 2025 5/38 + 1/35 · Nov 2016 – Apr 2025 5/35 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 136 times drawn · chance expected 148 −1.04σ
5 draws waiting · a wait this long: 54% for any number
7.5 average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
25 longest completed wait · 97% chance of one at least that long
15 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 136 times in 1,034 draws against 147.7 expected, −1.04σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
15 Number 15, draw by draw Drawn 136 times in 1,034 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 5 draws now
7 draws: 2010-04-29 to 2010-05-15 2 draws: 2010-05-15 to 2010-05-20 16 draws: 2010-05-20 to 2010-06-26 9 draws: 2010-06-26 to 2010-07-17 5 draws: 2010-07-17 to 2010-07-29 21 draws: 2010-07-29 to 2010-09-16 12 draws: 2010-09-16 to 2010-10-14 9 draws: 2010-10-14 to 2010-11-04 11 draws: 2010-11-04 to 2010-11-30 4 draws: 2010-11-30 to 2010-12-09 5 draws: 2010-12-09 to 2010-12-21 3 draws: 2010-12-21 to 2010-12-28 11 draws: 2010-12-28 to 2011-01-22 15 draws: 2011-01-22 to 2011-02-26 5 draws: 2011-02-26 to 2011-03-10 5 draws: 2011-03-10 to 2011-03-22 2 draws: 2011-03-22 to 2011-03-26 2 draws: 2011-03-26 to 2011-03-31 9 draws: 2011-03-31 to 2011-04-21 11 draws: 2011-04-21 to 2011-05-17 6 draws: 2011-05-17 to 2011-05-31 1 draws: 2011-05-31 to 2011-06-02 4 draws: 2011-06-02 to 2011-06-11 2 draws: 2011-06-11 to 2011-06-16 5 draws: 2011-06-16 to 2011-06-28 6 draws: 2011-06-28 to 2011-07-12 6 draws: 2011-07-12 to 2011-07-26 2 draws: 2011-07-26 to 2011-07-30 2 draws: 2011-07-30 to 2011-08-04 2 draws: 2011-08-04 to 2011-08-09 2 draws: 2011-08-09 to 2011-08-13 7 draws: 2011-08-13 to 2011-08-30 2 draws: 2011-08-30 to 2011-09-03 14 draws: 2011-09-03 to 2011-10-06 10 draws: 2011-10-06 to 2011-10-29 2 draws: 2011-10-29 to 2011-11-03 3 draws: 2011-11-03 to 2011-11-10 7 draws: 2011-11-10 to 2011-11-26 21 draws: 2011-11-26 to 2012-01-14 20 draws: 2012-01-14 to 2012-03-01 2 draws: 2012-03-01 to 2012-03-06 8 draws: 2012-03-06 to 2012-03-24 4 draws: 2012-03-24 to 2012-04-03 15 draws: 2012-04-03 to 2012-05-08 3 draws: 2012-05-08 to 2012-05-15 13 draws: 2012-05-15 to 2012-06-14 3 draws: 2012-06-14 to 2012-06-21 4 draws: 2012-06-21 to 2012-06-30 7 draws: 2012-06-30 to 2012-07-17 7 draws: 2012-07-17 to 2012-08-02 14 draws: 2012-08-02 to 2012-09-06 6 draws: 2012-09-06 to 2012-09-20 5 draws: 2012-09-20 to 2012-10-02 13 draws: 2012-10-02 to 2012-11-01 7 draws: 2012-11-01 to 2012-11-17 9 draws: 2012-11-17 to 2012-12-08 3 draws: 2012-12-08 to 2012-12-15 5 draws: 2012-12-15 to 2012-12-27 4 draws: 2012-12-27 to 2013-01-05 11 draws: 2013-01-05 to 2013-01-31 3 draws: 2013-01-31 to 2013-02-07 16 draws: 2013-02-07 to 2013-03-16 4 draws: 2013-03-16 to 2013-03-26 16 draws: 2013-03-26 to 2013-05-02 15 draws: 2013-05-02 to 2013-06-06 17 draws: 2013-06-06 to 2013-07-16 3 draws: 2013-07-16 to 2013-07-23 5 draws: 2013-07-23 to 2013-08-03 16 draws: 2013-08-03 to 2013-09-10 1 draws: 2013-09-10 to 2013-09-12 10 draws: 2013-09-12 to 2013-10-05 3 draws: 2013-10-05 to 2013-10-12 22 draws: 2013-10-12 to 2013-12-03 2 draws: 2013-12-03 to 2013-12-07 6 draws: 2013-12-07 to 2013-12-21 25 draws: 2013-12-21 to 2014-02-18 10 draws: 2014-02-18 to 2014-03-13 1 draws: 2014-03-13 to 2014-03-15 4 draws: 2014-03-15 to 2014-03-25 20 draws: 2014-03-25 to 2014-05-10 2 draws: 2014-05-10 to 2014-05-15 12 draws: 2014-05-15 to 2014-06-12 7 draws: 2014-06-12 to 2014-06-28 7 draws: 2014-06-28 to 2014-07-15 2 draws: 2014-07-15 to 2014-07-19 3 draws: 2014-07-19 to 2014-07-26 1 draws: 2014-07-26 to 2014-07-29 9 draws: 2014-07-29 to 2014-08-19 2 draws: 2014-08-19 to 2014-08-23 8 draws: 2014-08-23 to 2014-09-11 14 draws: 2014-09-11 to 2014-10-14 8 draws: 2014-10-14 to 2014-11-01 1 draws: 2014-11-01 to 2014-11-04 1 draws: 2014-11-04 to 2014-11-06 1 draws: 2014-11-06 to 2014-11-08 18 draws: 2014-11-08 to 2014-12-20 2 draws: 2014-12-20 to 2014-12-25 1 draws: 2014-12-25 to 2014-12-27 16 draws: 2014-12-27 to 2015-02-03 7 draws: 2015-02-03 to 2015-02-19 7 draws: 2015-02-19 to 2015-03-07 12 draws: 2015-03-07 to 2015-04-04 5 draws: 2015-04-04 to 2015-04-16 22 draws: 2015-04-16 to 2015-06-06 3 draws: 2015-06-06 to 2015-06-13 3 draws: 2015-06-13 to 2015-06-20 5 draws: 2015-06-20 to 2015-07-02 9 draws: 2015-07-02 to 2015-07-23 15 draws: 2015-07-23 to 2015-08-27 4 draws: 2015-08-27 to 2015-09-05 13 draws: 2015-09-05 to 2015-10-06 25 draws: 2015-10-06 to 2015-12-03 2 draws: 2015-12-03 to 2015-12-08 18 draws: 2015-12-08 to 2016-01-19 2 draws: 2016-01-19 to 2016-01-23 1 draws: 2016-01-23 to 2016-01-26 6 draws: 2016-01-26 to 2016-02-09 15 draws: 2016-02-09 to 2016-03-15 15 draws: 2016-03-15 to 2016-04-19 13 draws: 2016-04-19 to 2016-05-19 1 draws: 2016-05-19 to 2016-05-21 4 draws: 2016-05-21 to 2016-05-31 3 draws: 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-07 6 draws: 2016-06-07 to 2016-06-21 15 draws: 2016-06-21 to 2016-07-26 3 draws: 2016-07-26 to 2016-08-02 2 draws: 2016-08-02 to 2016-08-06 19 draws: 2016-08-06 to 2016-09-20 6 draws: 2016-09-20 to 2016-10-04 1 draws: 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-06 1 draws: 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-08 1 draws: 2016-10-08 to 2016-10-11 2 draws: 2016-10-11 to 2016-10-15 2 draws: 2016-10-15 to 2016-10-20 6 draws: 2016-10-20 to 2016-11-03 Still waiting — at least 5 draws since 2016-11-03 2010-04-29 2010-05-15 2010-05-20 2010-06-26 2010-07-17 2010-07-29 2010-09-16 2010-10-14 2010-11-04 2010-11-30 2010-12-09 2010-12-21 2010-12-28 2011-01-22 2011-02-26 2011-03-10 2011-03-22 2011-03-26 2011-03-31 2011-04-21 2011-05-17 2011-05-31 2011-06-02 2011-06-11 2011-06-16 2011-06-28 2011-07-12 2011-07-26 2011-07-30 2011-08-04 2011-08-09 2011-08-13 2011-08-30 2011-09-03 2011-10-06 2011-10-29 2011-11-03 2011-11-10 2011-11-26 2012-01-14 2012-03-01 2012-03-06 2012-03-24 2012-04-03 2012-05-08 2012-05-15 2012-06-14 2012-06-21 2012-06-30 2012-07-17 2012-08-02 2012-09-06 2012-09-20 2012-10-02 2012-11-01 2012-11-17 2012-12-08 2012-12-15 2012-12-27 2013-01-05 2013-01-31 2013-02-07 2013-03-16 2013-03-26 2013-05-02 2013-06-06 2013-07-16 2013-07-23 2013-08-03 2013-09-10 2013-09-12 2013-10-05 2013-10-12 2013-12-03 2013-12-07 2013-12-21 2014-02-18 2014-03-13 2014-03-15 2014-03-25 2014-05-10 2014-05-15 2014-06-12 2014-06-28 2014-07-15 2014-07-19 2014-07-26 2014-07-29 2014-08-19 2014-08-23 2014-09-11 2014-10-14 2014-11-01 2014-11-04 2014-11-06 2014-11-08 2014-12-20 2014-12-25 2014-12-27 2015-02-03 2015-02-19 2015-03-07 2015-04-04 2015-04-16 2015-06-06 2015-06-13 2015-06-20 2015-07-02 2015-07-23 2015-08-27 2015-09-05 2015-10-06 2015-12-03 2015-12-08 2016-01-19 2016-01-23 2016-01-26 2016-02-09 2016-03-15 2016-04-19 2016-05-19 2016-05-21 2016-05-31 2016-06-07 2016-06-21 2016-07-26 2016-08-02 2016-08-06 2016-09-20 2016-10-04 2016-10-06 2016-10-08 2016-10-11 2016-10-15 2016-10-20 2016-11-03 2010-04-08 2016-11-15
1 draws: 13 times 2 draws: 21 times 3 draws: 13 times 4 draws: 9 times 5 draws: 10 times 6 draws: 9 times 7 draws: 10 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 6 times 10 draws: 3 times 11 draws: 4 times 12 draws: 3 times 13 draws: 4 times 14 draws: 3 times 15 draws: 7 times 16 draws: 5 times 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 2 times 21 draws: 2 times 22 draws: 2 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 2 times 26 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 15 · chance 14.2 2nd smallest 46 · chance 46.8 3rd smallest 51 · chance 50.7 4th smallest 20 · chance 21.3 5th smallest 4 · chance 2.9 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 16.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 14 Every number number 16 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.