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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Wild Money · every number

18

Number 18

In Wild Money under the 5/35 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 1,034 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

5/38 + 1/38 · since Apr 20255/38 + 1/35 · Nov 2016 – Apr 20255/35 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016
153times drawn · chance expected 148 +0.47σ
27draws waiting · a wait this long: 2% for any number
6.6average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
34longest completed wait · 61% chance of one at least that long
18 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 153 times in 1,034 draws against 147.7 expected, +0.47σ. Each draw is independent: after 27 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

18

Number 18, draw by draw

Drawn 153 times in 1,034 draws · average wait 6.6 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 27 draws now

8 draws: 2010-04-13 to 2010-05-0110 draws: 2010-05-01 to 2010-05-254 draws: 2010-05-25 to 2010-06-031 draws: 2010-06-03 to 2010-06-059 draws: 2010-06-05 to 2010-06-263 draws: 2010-06-26 to 2010-07-033 draws: 2010-07-03 to 2010-07-104 draws: 2010-07-10 to 2010-07-203 draws: 2010-07-20 to 2010-07-271 draws: 2010-07-27 to 2010-07-2914 draws: 2010-07-29 to 2010-08-312 draws: 2010-08-31 to 2010-09-042 draws: 2010-09-04 to 2010-09-096 draws: 2010-09-09 to 2010-09-2311 draws: 2010-09-23 to 2010-10-1914 draws: 2010-10-19 to 2010-11-2010 draws: 2010-11-20 to 2010-12-1410 draws: 2010-12-14 to 2011-01-067 draws: 2011-01-06 to 2011-01-227 draws: 2011-01-22 to 2011-02-088 draws: 2011-02-08 to 2011-02-266 draws: 2011-02-26 to 2011-03-122 draws: 2011-03-12 to 2011-03-171 draws: 2011-03-17 to 2011-03-198 draws: 2011-03-19 to 2011-04-075 draws: 2011-04-07 to 2011-04-191 draws: 2011-04-19 to 2011-04-219 draws: 2011-04-21 to 2011-05-121 draws: 2011-05-12 to 2011-05-146 draws: 2011-05-14 to 2011-05-2822 draws: 2011-05-28 to 2011-07-197 draws: 2011-07-19 to 2011-08-0410 draws: 2011-08-04 to 2011-08-279 draws: 2011-08-27 to 2011-09-1716 draws: 2011-09-17 to 2011-10-254 draws: 2011-10-25 to 2011-11-032 draws: 2011-11-03 to 2011-11-087 draws: 2011-11-08 to 2011-11-2411 draws: 2011-11-24 to 2011-12-2014 draws: 2011-12-20 to 2012-01-211 draws: 2012-01-21 to 2012-01-241 draws: 2012-01-24 to 2012-01-264 draws: 2012-01-26 to 2012-02-041 draws: 2012-02-04 to 2012-02-077 draws: 2012-02-07 to 2012-02-2310 draws: 2012-02-23 to 2012-03-171 draws: 2012-03-17 to 2012-03-2029 draws: 2012-03-20 to 2012-05-269 draws: 2012-05-26 to 2012-06-164 draws: 2012-06-16 to 2012-06-262 draws: 2012-06-26 to 2012-06-304 draws: 2012-06-30 to 2012-07-104 draws: 2012-07-10 to 2012-07-1917 draws: 2012-07-19 to 2012-08-3016 draws: 2012-08-30 to 2012-10-062 draws: 2012-10-06 to 2012-10-117 draws: 2012-10-11 to 2012-10-276 draws: 2012-10-27 to 2012-11-1027 draws: 2012-11-10 to 2013-01-125 draws: 2013-01-12 to 2013-01-243 draws: 2013-01-24 to 2013-01-315 draws: 2013-01-31 to 2013-02-122 draws: 2013-02-12 to 2013-02-164 draws: 2013-02-16 to 2013-02-264 draws: 2013-02-26 to 2013-03-0724 draws: 2013-03-07 to 2013-05-021 draws: 2013-05-02 to 2013-05-0411 draws: 2013-05-04 to 2013-05-305 draws: 2013-05-30 to 2013-06-116 draws: 2013-06-11 to 2013-06-252 draws: 2013-06-25 to 2013-06-293 draws: 2013-06-29 to 2013-07-061 draws: 2013-07-06 to 2013-07-0915 draws: 2013-07-09 to 2013-08-135 draws: 2013-08-13 to 2013-08-241 draws: 2013-08-24 to 2013-08-276 draws: 2013-08-27 to 2013-09-103 draws: 2013-09-10 to 2013-09-173 draws: 2013-09-17 to 2013-09-242 draws: 2013-09-24 to 2013-09-2810 draws: 2013-09-28 to 2013-10-221 draws: 2013-10-22 to 2013-10-2434 draws: 2013-10-24 to 2014-01-114 draws: 2014-01-11 to 2014-01-211 draws: 2014-01-21 to 2014-01-232 draws: 2014-01-23 to 2014-01-284 draws: 2014-01-28 to 2014-02-063 draws: 2014-02-06 to 2014-02-1321 draws: 2014-02-13 to 2014-04-036 draws: 2014-04-03 to 2014-04-173 draws: 2014-04-17 to 2014-04-247 draws: 2014-04-24 to 2014-05-105 draws: 2014-05-10 to 2014-05-222 draws: 2014-05-22 to 2014-05-272 draws: 2014-05-27 to 2014-05-315 draws: 2014-05-31 to 2014-06-122 draws: 2014-06-12 to 2014-06-173 draws: 2014-06-17 to 2014-06-243 draws: 2014-06-24 to 2014-07-0110 draws: 2014-07-01 to 2014-07-243 draws: 2014-07-24 to 2014-07-3110 draws: 2014-07-31 to 2014-08-2311 draws: 2014-08-23 to 2014-09-182 draws: 2014-09-18 to 2014-09-2310 draws: 2014-09-23 to 2014-10-167 draws: 2014-10-16 to 2014-11-012 draws: 2014-11-01 to 2014-11-0612 draws: 2014-11-06 to 2014-12-046 draws: 2014-12-04 to 2014-12-182 draws: 2014-12-18 to 2014-12-235 draws: 2014-12-23 to 2015-01-0317 draws: 2015-01-03 to 2015-02-126 draws: 2015-02-12 to 2015-02-263 draws: 2015-02-26 to 2015-03-052 draws: 2015-03-05 to 2015-03-106 draws: 2015-03-10 to 2015-03-241 draws: 2015-03-24 to 2015-03-266 draws: 2015-03-26 to 2015-04-0910 draws: 2015-04-09 to 2015-05-022 draws: 2015-05-02 to 2015-05-0715 draws: 2015-05-07 to 2015-06-118 draws: 2015-06-11 to 2015-06-303 draws: 2015-06-30 to 2015-07-072 draws: 2015-07-07 to 2015-07-119 draws: 2015-07-11 to 2015-08-014 draws: 2015-08-01 to 2015-08-113 draws: 2015-08-11 to 2015-08-181 draws: 2015-08-18 to 2015-08-207 draws: 2015-08-20 to 2015-09-058 draws: 2015-09-05 to 2015-09-241 draws: 2015-09-24 to 2015-09-261 draws: 2015-09-26 to 2015-09-292 draws: 2015-09-29 to 2015-10-039 draws: 2015-10-03 to 2015-10-243 draws: 2015-10-24 to 2015-10-318 draws: 2015-10-31 to 2015-11-1914 draws: 2015-11-19 to 2015-12-2212 draws: 2015-12-22 to 2016-01-1913 draws: 2016-01-19 to 2016-02-1813 draws: 2016-02-18 to 2016-03-194 draws: 2016-03-19 to 2016-03-298 draws: 2016-03-29 to 2016-04-162 draws: 2016-04-16 to 2016-04-2110 draws: 2016-04-21 to 2016-05-146 draws: 2016-05-14 to 2016-05-287 draws: 2016-05-28 to 2016-06-142 draws: 2016-06-14 to 2016-06-185 draws: 2016-06-18 to 2016-06-301 draws: 2016-06-30 to 2016-07-0213 draws: 2016-07-02 to 2016-08-0216 draws: 2016-08-02 to 2016-09-082 draws: 2016-09-08 to 2016-09-13Still waiting — at least 27 draws since 2016-09-132010-04-132010-05-012010-05-252010-06-032010-06-052010-06-262010-07-032010-07-102010-07-202010-07-272010-07-292010-08-312010-09-042010-09-092010-09-232010-10-192010-11-202010-12-142011-01-062011-01-222011-02-082011-02-262011-03-122011-03-172011-03-192011-04-072011-04-192011-04-212011-05-122011-05-142011-05-282011-07-192011-08-042011-08-272011-09-172011-10-252011-11-032011-11-082011-11-242011-12-202012-01-212012-01-242012-01-262012-02-042012-02-072012-02-232012-03-172012-03-202012-05-262012-06-162012-06-262012-06-302012-07-102012-07-192012-08-302012-10-062012-10-112012-10-272012-11-102013-01-122013-01-242013-01-312013-02-122013-02-162013-02-262013-03-072013-05-022013-05-042013-05-302013-06-112013-06-252013-06-292013-07-062013-07-092013-08-132013-08-242013-08-272013-09-102013-09-172013-09-242013-09-282013-10-222013-10-242014-01-112014-01-212014-01-232014-01-282014-02-062014-02-132014-04-032014-04-172014-04-242014-05-102014-05-222014-05-272014-05-312014-06-122014-06-172014-06-242014-07-012014-07-242014-07-312014-08-232014-09-182014-09-232014-10-162014-11-012014-11-062014-12-042014-12-182014-12-232015-01-032015-02-122015-02-262015-03-052015-03-102015-03-242015-03-262015-04-092015-05-022015-05-072015-06-112015-06-302015-07-072015-07-112015-08-012015-08-112015-08-182015-08-202015-09-052015-09-242015-09-262015-09-292015-10-032015-10-242015-10-312015-11-192015-12-222016-01-192016-02-182016-03-192016-03-292016-04-162016-04-212016-05-142016-05-282016-06-142016-06-182016-06-302016-07-022016-08-022016-09-082016-09-132010-04-082016-11-15

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 19 times2 draws: 23 times3 draws: 16 times4 draws: 13 times5 draws: 9 times6 draws: 12 times7 draws: 10 times8 draws: 7 times9 draws: 6 times10 draws: 11 times11 draws: 4 times12 draws: 2 times13 draws: 3 times14 draws: 4 times15 draws: 2 times16 draws: 3 times17 draws: 2 times18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 1 time23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 1 time25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 1 time28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 1 time30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 0 times32 draws: 0 times33 draws: 0 times34 draws: 1 time35 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest6 · chance 7.9
  • 2nd smallest38 · chance 38.1
  • 3rd smallest58 · chance 61.0
  • 4th smallest40 · chance 38.1
  • 5th smallest11 · chance 7.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 18.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

71135143316

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2016-09-1323rd59183334
2016-09-08164th1014161820
2016-08-02133rd1516182629
2016-07-0213rd56
← number 17Every numbernumber 19 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

18
31
35
2016-06-3055th46101118
2016-06-1822nd1618193132
2016-06-1473rd117182533
2016-05-2862nd1418192627
2016-05-14102nd1218233435
2016-04-2122nd218192425
2016-04-1684th67111833
2016-03-2942nd618212231
2016-03-19135th211161718
2016-02-18132nd418293135
2016-01-19124th312151820
2015-12-22141st1820223133
2015-11-1985th2781718
2015-10-3133rd1213182023
2015-10-2492nd918202529
2015-10-0323rd214183233
2015-09-2912nd118192331
2015-09-2612nd918193235
2015-09-2485th57121718
2015-09-0572nd1518243335
The other 129 appearances
2015-08-2014th111141835
2015-08-1834th36171832
2015-08-1143rd710182730
2015-08-0194th48141822
2015-07-1121st1819212535
2015-07-0731st1825273335
2015-06-3083rd914182433
2015-06-11153rd310182325
2015-05-0723rd56182631
2015-05-02103rd210182530
2015-04-0963rd57182226
2015-03-2613rd512183035
2015-03-2465th710131618
2015-03-1023rd116182933
2015-03-0532nd1618293334
2015-02-2664th913171820
2015-02-12173rd716182730
2015-01-0352nd618222935
2014-12-2323rd911182731
2014-12-1864th18121822
2014-12-04125th1291118
2014-11-0625th48101518
2014-11-0173rd915182533
2014-10-16103rd917182125
2014-09-2323rd511182432
2014-09-18114th812131827
2014-08-23104th35151820
2014-07-3134th47111828
2014-07-24103rd1014182135
2014-07-0133rd213182730
2014-06-2432nd1318232428
2014-06-1723rd1213182234
2014-06-1255th1691518
2014-05-3122nd318222431
2014-05-2723rd38182122
2014-05-2253rd614182930
2014-05-1072nd1518203033
2014-04-2432nd1618222630
2014-04-1764th37171826
2014-04-03213rd614181929
2014-02-1332nd1418192124
2014-02-0644th911131832
2014-01-2821st1821243132
2014-01-2314th410111831
2014-01-2143rd28182630
2014-01-11344th1011141820
2013-10-2413rd1112181924
2013-10-22105th4571418
2013-09-2823rd1216182829
2013-09-2434th39131833
2013-09-1734th510131827
2013-09-1063rd715181931
2013-08-2712nd118212430
2013-08-2452nd118232933
2013-08-13153rd313182228
2013-07-0914th68101828
2013-07-0633rd1112182733
2013-06-2924th35111835
2013-06-2562nd718202430
2013-06-1152nd1318192732
2013-05-30113rd711182130
2013-05-0412nd518202328
2013-05-02244th68151835
2013-03-0743rd813182027
2013-02-2642nd1718233233
2013-02-1625th111141618
2013-02-1253rd1014181923
2013-01-3134th1015171829
2013-01-2453rd49183134
2013-01-12273rd78183235
2012-11-1064th37141819
2012-10-2773rd217183233
2012-10-1123rd19182931
2012-10-06162nd718192531
2012-08-30171st1826303234
2012-07-1942nd618252834
2012-07-1044th28141835
2012-06-3023rd515182224
2012-06-2641st1821242733
2012-06-1692nd1418202933
2012-05-26293rd17183235
2012-03-2012nd818283234
2012-03-17103rd216182934
2012-02-2374th3691828
2012-02-0714th212141835
2012-02-0443rd15183032
2012-01-2612nd818242535
2012-01-2412nd1618272830
2012-01-21142nd1018192235
2011-12-20114th3681819
2011-11-2473rd410182125
2011-11-0824th37111824
2011-11-0344th715161833
2011-10-25164th711161833
2011-09-1792nd1118192632
2011-08-27103rd711181927
2011-08-0473rd1115182526
2011-07-19223rd611182034
2011-05-2864th416171823
2011-05-1412nd718202325
2011-05-1293rd28182529
2011-04-2113rd1015182327
2011-04-1954th511131830
2011-04-0783rd714182432
2011-03-1914th45101827
2011-03-1722nd1218262734
2011-03-1263rd616183035
2011-02-2685th911121518
2011-02-0872nd1718232432
2011-01-2272nd1518222731
2011-01-06103rd27182529
2010-12-14103rd27181921
2010-11-20144th17121823
2010-10-19114th414161821
2010-09-2364th611161821
2010-09-0924th412131820
2010-09-0423rd13182227
2010-08-31143rd36182329
2010-07-2913rd115183235
2010-07-2734th5891826
2010-07-2044th1114161830
2010-07-1032nd318242935
2010-07-0333rd216182630
2010-06-2692nd1518222735
2010-06-0514th36141820
2010-06-0344th13121825
2010-05-25103rd48182129
2010-05-0182nd218272831
2010-04-13—3rd1017182533