Number 20

In Wild Money under the 5/35 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 1,034 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

147times drawn · chance expected 148 −0.06σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

7.1average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

28longest completed wait · 90% chance of one at least that long

20 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 147 times in 1,034 draws against 147.7 expected, −0.06σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 20, draw by draw

Drawn 147 times in 1,034 draws · average wait 7.1 draws · longest completed wait 28 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 20 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 4.3
2nd smallest30 · chance 27.4
3rd smallest57 · chance 56.9
4th smallest41 · chance 46.1
5th smallest15 · chance 12.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 17.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

12 32 21 7 4 10

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 20 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 20 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-11-15	1	4th	6 7 14 20 33
2016-11-12	28	2nd	9 20 23 26 32
2016-09-08	3	5th	10 14 16 18 20
2016-09-01	8	3rd	12 16

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 20 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-09-17	3	3rd	3 12 20 23 31
2015-09-10	5	4th	2 10 16 20 21
2015-08-29	6	3rd	1 13 20 25 32
2015-08-15	14	4th	2 6 14 20 32
2015-07-14	19	4th	4 7 13 20 26
2015-05-30	7	3rd	5 6 20 22 27
2015-05-14	9	3rd	2 7 20 25 26
2015-04-23	4	4th	11 14 19 20 35
2015-04-14	5	5th	4 7 10 14 20
2015-04-02	15	4th	5 12 16 20 33
2015-02-26	19	5th	9 13 17 18 20
2015-01-13	3	3rd	1 9 20 26 30
2015-01-06	2	2nd	10 20 21 31 34
2015-01-01	9	5th	1 12 13 14 20
2014-12-11	6	5th	9 10 13 17 20
2014-11-27	5	3rd	7 8 20 24 31
2014-11-15	1	2nd	19 20 21 26 28
2014-11-13	10	3rd	2 17 20 22 32
2014-10-21	4	3rd	3 8 20 27 34
2014-10-11	21	3rd	7 16 20 25 35
2014-08-23	3	5th	3 5 15 18 20
2014-08-16	13	2nd	12 20 25 28 31
2014-07-17	1	2nd	14 20 30 32 34
2014-07-15	15	3rd	15 16 20 22 31
2014-06-10	13	3rd	2 8 20 23 35
2014-05-10	6	3rd	15 18 20 30 33
2014-04-26	2	3rd	1 9 20 31 32
2014-04-22	1	3rd	12 16 20 21 31
2014-04-19	3	3rd	16 17 20 24 25
2014-04-12	2	1st	20 21 25 28 33
2014-04-08	6	4th	5 8 12 20 32
2014-03-25	6	5th	6 7 15 17 20
2014-03-11	2	2nd	2 20 28 32 33
2014-03-06	1	3rd	11 13 20 23 29
2014-03-04	1	4th	5 9 11 20 23
2014-03-01	21	2nd	3 20 28 30 32
2014-01-11	2	5th	10 11 14 18 20
2014-01-07	12	3rd	8 10 20 28 32
2013-12-10	5	3rd	13 19 20 21 31
2013-11-28	7	3rd	2 16 20 21 30
2013-11-12	11	3rd	2 19 20 21 33
2013-10-17	9	4th	3 7 12 20 28
2013-09-26	2	4th	6 7 19 20 31
2013-09-21	15	2nd	16 20 24 26 30
2013-08-17	4	4th	8 10 12 20 33
2013-08-08	5	3rd	2 7 20 31 35
2013-07-27	2	2nd	7 20 21 22 34
2013-07-23	8	4th	11 13 15 20 34
2013-07-04	4	4th	5 10 13 20 28
2013-06-25	1	3rd	7 18 20 24 30
2013-06-22	6	3rd	5 8 20 22 35
2013-06-08	3	4th	3 6 17 20 34
2013-06-01	5	3rd	1 7 20 31 32
2013-05-21	4	2nd	9 20 27 29 33
2013-05-11	1	4th	2 6 12 20 23
2013-05-09	1	2nd	10 20 21 30 32
2013-05-07	1	1st	20 21 22 27 30
2013-05-04	5	3rd	5 18 20 23 28
2013-04-23	8	4th	8 13 19 20 33
2013-04-04	12	4th	2 4 16 20 33
2013-03-07	1	4th	8 13 18 20 27
2013-03-05	6	3rd	1 12 20 23 33
2013-02-19	2	2nd	9 20 29 30 35
2013-02-14	10	3rd	5 9 20 26 29
2013-01-22	20	4th	2 4 14 20 29
2012-12-06	2	3rd	2 12 20 27 31
2012-12-01	4	2nd	7 20 21 22 32
2012-11-22	14	4th	2 12 17 20 25
2012-10-20	8	3rd	9 14 20 22 26
2012-10-02	24	3rd	3 15 20 31 35
2012-08-04	2	2nd	16 20 25 27 30
2012-07-31	16	3rd	10 12 20 22 33
2012-06-23	3	3rd	10 16 20 23 29
2012-06-16	25	3rd	14 18 20 29 33
2012-04-19	20	4th	4 11 12 20 27
2012-03-03	2	2nd	16 20 22 28 33
2012-02-28	5	2nd	11 20 21 22 23
2012-02-16	12	3rd	13 17 20 24 25
2012-01-19	1	4th	9 13 16 20 21
2012-01-17	13	3rd	4 9 20 28 29
2011-12-17	5	2nd	8 20 23 28 32
2011-12-06	8	4th	1 9 11 20 31
2011-11-17	7	4th	8 11 17 20 30
2011-11-01	4	3rd	5 14 20 21 28
2011-10-22	21	3rd	14 16 20 23 26
2011-09-03	7	4th	13 15 17 20 22
2011-08-18	10	4th	8 12 14 20 31
2011-07-26	3	4th	1 15 19 20 35
2011-07-19	5	4th	6 11 18 20 34
2011-07-07	2	5th	1 4 9 16 20
2011-07-02	17	3rd	7 12 20 21 32
2011-05-24	4	4th	12 14 19 20 30
2011-05-14	3	3rd	7 18 20 23 25
2011-05-07	2	3rd	1 17 20 26 27
2011-05-03	7	2nd	13 20 28 32 34
2011-04-16	3	3rd	5 17 20 26 34
2011-04-09	2	2nd	13 20 22 23 33
2011-04-05	11	2nd	9 20 21 25 26
2011-03-10	9	3rd	3 15 20 26 31
2011-02-17	2	3rd	4 12 20 34 35
2011-02-12	4	3rd	10 19 20 24 33
2011-02-03	6	2nd	11 20 26 32 34
2011-01-20	14	3rd	8 11 20 28 32
2010-12-18	5	1st	20 22 27 29 33
2010-12-07	2	4th	7 11 14 20 32
2010-12-02	1	3rd	5 10 20 27 30
2010-11-30	7	4th	4 15 17 20 30
2010-11-13	6	4th	9 11 16 20 26
2010-10-30	3	4th	4 16 19 20 29
2010-10-23	14	4th	7 8 17 20 21
2010-09-21	5	2nd	19 20 23 25 34
2010-09-09	7	5th	4 12 13 18 20
2010-08-24	4	3rd	2 4 20 22 28
2010-08-14	4	3rd	4 11 20 27 35
2010-08-05	13	4th	3 12 19 20 32
2010-07-06	2	2nd	12 20 21 23 27
2010-07-01	3	3rd	8 13 20 21 30
2010-06-24	3	1st	20 24 25 29 32
2010-06-17	2	2nd	19 20 25 32 35
2010-06-12	3	4th	1 9 10 20 35
2010-06-05	13	5th	3 6 14 18 20
2010-05-06	12	5th	4 6 10 12 20
2010-04-08	—	5th	3 4 5 14 20