Number 22

In Wild Money under the 5/35 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 1,034 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

139times drawn · chance expected 148 −0.77σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 73% for any number

7.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

35longest completed wait · 52% chance of one at least that long

22 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 139 times in 1,034 draws against 147.7 expected, −0.77σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 22, draw by draw

Drawn 139 times in 1,034 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest3 · chance 2.1
2nd smallest14 · chance 18.0
3rd smallest47 · chance 49.1
4th smallest52 · chance 51.8
5th smallest23 · chance 17.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 16.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 3 10 13 33 19

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-11-08	3	3rd	3 6 22 23 33
2016-11-01	4	4th	4 5 7 22 34
2016-10-22	10	4th	6 9 13 22 26
2016-09-29	32	4th	1 7

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-02-21	1	3rd	10 13 22 32 35
2015-02-19	5	4th	7 15 21 22 26
2015-02-07	2	3rd	3 14 22 29 32
2015-02-03	2	3rd	11 15 22 27 28
2015-01-29	2	3rd	6 10 22 29 35
2015-01-24	9	4th	4 10 14 22 25
2015-01-03	2	3rd	6 18 22 29 35
2014-12-30	5	2nd	11 22 26 29 31
2014-12-18	10	5th	1 8 12 18 22
2014-11-25	1	5th	1 4 9 17 22
2014-11-22	4	3rd	12 14 22 23 24
2014-11-13	7	4th	2 17 20 22 32
2014-10-28	11	3rd	3 16 22 32 34
2014-10-02	1	1st	22 28 32 33 34
2014-09-30	15	5th	9 10 11 19 22
2014-08-26	18	3rd	3 6 22 24 31
2014-07-15	7	4th	15 16 20 22 31
2014-06-28	4	5th	6 13 15 17 22
2014-06-19	1	1st	22 23 24 25 32
2014-06-17	4	4th	12 13 18 22 34
2014-06-07	3	4th	5 6 16 22 26
2014-05-31	2	3rd	3 18 22 24 31
2014-05-27	1	5th	3 8 18 21 22
2014-05-24	5	3rd	14 19 22 26 33
2014-05-13	3	2nd	16 22 24 33 34
2014-05-06	5	4th	4 6 19 22 26
2014-04-24	18	3rd	16 18 22 26 30
2014-03-13	6	4th	7 15 21 22 33
2014-02-27	1	3rd	2 6 22 32 34
2014-02-25	6	4th	3 11 14 22 32
2014-02-11	14	3rd	10 13 22 23 26
2014-01-09	3	4th	2 8 14 22 32
2014-01-02	1	4th	2 7 17 22 23
2013-12-31	4	3rd	13 14 22 24 29
2013-12-21	2	4th	2 5 15 22 33
2013-12-17	1	2nd	3 22 23 26 34
2013-12-14	5	1st	22 24 31 32 34
2013-12-03	7	5th	5 15 16 19 22
2013-11-16	3	5th	7 11 13 19 22
2013-11-09	1	4th	3 5 14 22 25
2013-11-07	3	5th	5 7 10 11 22
2013-10-31	10	2nd	13 22 24 25 34
2013-10-08	2	5th	1 7 10 13 22
2013-10-03	22	3rd	5 9 22 23 32
2013-08-13	7	4th	3 13 18 22 28
2013-07-27	15	4th	7 20 21 22 34
2013-06-22	20	4th	5 8 20 22 35
2013-05-07	4	3rd	20 21 22 27 30
2013-04-27	5	4th	1 5 7 22 33
2013-04-16	2	4th	4 10 12 22 26
2013-04-11	1	5th	9 10 11 17 22
2013-04-09	11	3rd	2 7 22 24 30
2013-03-14	1	4th	4 5 11 22 25
2013-03-12	5	4th	2 3 14 22 27
2013-02-28	13	3rd	6 10 22 33 34
2013-01-29	14	2nd	19 22 26 30 35
2012-12-27	11	3rd	6 15 22 27 33
2012-12-01	3	4th	7 20 21 22 32
2012-11-24	3	3rd	3 4 22 25 26
2012-11-17	2	4th	1 15 19 22 26
2012-11-13	8	3rd	11 13 22 25 33
2012-10-25	2	2nd	14 22 25 28 30
2012-10-20	3	4th	9 14 20 22 26
2012-10-13	2	3rd	3 9 22 25 35
2012-10-09	4	5th	2 3 6 12 22
2012-09-29	1	2nd	7 22 30 31 34
2012-09-27	8	4th	5 9 19 22 29
2012-09-08	16	3rd	11 13 22 23 30
2012-07-31	7	4th	10 12 20 22 33
2012-07-14	6	3rd	10 16 22 25 31
2012-06-30	4	4th	5 15 18 22 24
2012-06-21	3	2nd	15 22 23 25 29
2012-06-14	3	3rd	12 15 22 33 34
2012-06-07	4	2nd	4 22 23 33 35
2012-05-29	5	4th	2 8 10 22 25
2012-05-17	8	4th	3 8 19 22 26
2012-04-28	1	2nd	7 22 25 29 32
2012-04-26	22	3rd	13 14 22 29 33
2012-03-06	1	5th	1 5 9 15 22
2012-03-03	2	3rd	16 20 22 28 33
2012-02-28	4	4th	11 20 21 22 23
2012-02-18	12	3rd	10 13 22 32 34
2012-01-21	8	4th	10 18 19 22 35
2012-01-03	1	3rd	16 21 22 27 35
2011-12-31	8	4th	3 8 9 22 28
2011-12-13	4	4th	5 7 11 22 32
2011-12-03	19	3rd	5 7 22 28 32
2011-10-20	5	4th	1 7 21 22 30
2011-10-08	13	5th	4 5 16 17 22
2011-09-08	2	2nd	7 22 23 25 33
2011-09-03	6	5th	13 15 17 20 22
2011-08-20	5	3rd	13 21 22 28 34
2011-08-09	20	3rd	15 19 22 23 31
2011-06-23	3	3rd	9 10 22 31 32
2011-06-16	7	4th	3 7 15 22 34
2011-05-31	21	4th	1 15 19 22 24
2011-04-12	1	3rd	3 10 22 24 28
2011-04-09	4	3rd	13 20 22 23 33
2011-03-31	17	5th	1 6 12 15 22
2011-02-19	6	4th	3 16 21 22 34
2011-02-05	6	3rd	9 10 22 30 34
2011-01-22	15	3rd	15 18 22 27 31
2010-12-18	9	2nd	20 22 27 29 33
2010-11-27	2	3rd	4 13 22 23 26
2010-11-23	3	4th	6 10 19 22 31
2010-11-16	15	4th	7 9 19 22 35
2010-10-12	3	4th	9 13 21 22 30
2010-10-05	13	4th	10 12 19 22 35
2010-09-04	5	4th	1 3 18 22 27
2010-08-24	5	4th	2 4 20 22 28
2010-08-12	20	5th	7 13 17 19 22
2010-06-26	19	3rd	15 18 22 27 35
2010-05-13	8	3rd	5 9 22 23 24
2010-04-24	6	3rd	4 9 22 24 33
2010-04-10	—	2nd	2 22 23 31 32