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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 28 October 2015

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 54
  3. 56
  4. 62
  5. 63
  6. 10

Jackpot$110,000,000

The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 7 of 1,430 under them

← 2015-10-24All recent draws2015-10-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 54 56 62 63 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

19oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 19 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd10th
  • low10th
  • widest gap100th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

40times
540times
562times
621time
63

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-28

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.4Mto 456k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17%$400.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%$467.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball51%$1.2M
  • 4 other tiers13%$300.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

0times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

100times

Every number was expected about that many times after 6 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (56) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 October 2015 — its closest relative in 6 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 October 2015): 56 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

239

The numbers add up to 239 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 62–63. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

62 had not appeared for 3 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.04 by chance
$110,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.0 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8≈ 13 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4244≈ 324 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball673≈ 816 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,912≈ 17k by chance$7.00
  • Match 315,926≈ 20k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball116,810≈ 129k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball308,800≈ 309k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,926 winners, 22% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball308,800$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball116,810$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,912$7.00
    Match 315,926$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball673$100
    Match 4244$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$110,000,000