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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 11 November 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 16
  4. 30
  5. 56
  6. 18

Jackpot$89,500,000

The crowdHeld 31% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 220 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-11-08All recent draws2017-11-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 16 30 56 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 November 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd1th
  • low89th
  • widest gap64th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

410times
611times
1623times
3015times
56

Prize breakdown · 2017-11-11

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.4Mto 417k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22%$550.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%$458.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball43%$1.1M
  • 4 other tiers16%$388.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

185times

Every number was expected about that many times after 219 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (6, 16) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 August 2017 — its closest relative in 219 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 November 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$89,500,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.86 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11≈ 11 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4371≈ 275 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball809≈ 694 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,874≈ 14k by chance$7.00
  • Match 322,801≈ 17k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball114,628≈ 109k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball262,526≈ 263k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 22,801 winners, 31% more than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball262,526$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball114,628$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,874$7.00
    Match 322,801$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball809$100
    Match 4371$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$89,500,000