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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Monday, 21 April 2025

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 4
  2. 33
  3. 45
  4. 46
  5. 51
  6. 25

Jackpot$139,200,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 1,188 of 1,430 under them

← 2025-04-19All recent draws2025-04-23 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official4 33 45 46 51 + 2523 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official4 33 45 46 51 + 2523 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 33 45 46 51 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 April 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd65th
  • low33th
  • widest gap75th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each

479times
33102times
4589times
4672times
5173times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

2548times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,187 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 33, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 May 2017 — its closest relative in 1,187 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 April 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

179

The numbers add up to 179 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2025-04-21

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$1.4Mto 224k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29%$400.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball17%$242.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball42%$586.0K
  • 4 other tiers12%$168.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.02 by chance$139,200,000
  2. Match 50≈ 0.48 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8≈ 6.1 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4132≈ 154 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball382≈ 387 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,282≈ 8.0k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 39,416≈ 9.7k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball60,570≈ 61k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball146,495≈ 146k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 7,282 winners, 9% fewer than the 8.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball146,495$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball60,570$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,282$7.00
Match 39,416$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball382$100
Match 4132$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8$50,000
Match 50$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$139,200,000