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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 11 November 2015

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 26
  3. 32
  4. 55
  5. 64
  6. 18

Jackpot$50,000,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 11 of 1,430 under them

← 2015-11-07All recent draws2015-11-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 26 32 55 64 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.

  • sum55th
  • odd10th
  • low65th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

41time
260times
321time
550times
64

Prize breakdown · 2015-11-11

  • Lines in play≈ 8.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$1.9Mto 318k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26%$500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%$342.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball44%$831.5K
  • 4 other tiers12%$232.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

1time
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

180times

Every number was expected about that many times after 10 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (4) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 October 2015 — its closest relative in 10 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 November 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

181

The numbers add up to 181 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$50,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.68 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10≈ 8.7 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4180≈ 218 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball505≈ 550 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,156≈ 11k by chance$7.00
  • Match 312,334≈ 14k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball85,572≈ 87k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball207,872≈ 208k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,334 winners, 10% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball207,872$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball85,572$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,156$7.00
    Match 312,334$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball505$100
    Match 4180$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$50,000,000