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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 12 December 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 21
  4. 29
  5. 64
  6. 26

Jackpot$228,000,000

The crowdHeld 24% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 333 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-12-08All recent draws2018-12-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 21 29 64 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

417times
927times
2124times
2922times
64

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-12

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$3.9Mto 498k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 526%$1.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17%$650.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball32%$1.3M
  • 5 other tiers26%$1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

37times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each

2612times

Every number was expected about that many times after 332 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (9, 64) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 September 2018 — its closest relative in 332 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 December 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

64 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$228,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.0 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13≈ 13 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4390≈ 329 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,039≈ 828 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19,526≈ 17k by chance$7.00
  • Match 325,716≈ 21k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball138,631≈ 130k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball313,117≈ 313k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,039 winners, 25% more than the 828 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball313,117$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball138,631$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19,526$7.00
    Match 325,716$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,039$100
    Match 4390$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$228,000,000