Saturday, 27 June 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (11, 42) with the draw of 17 June 2015 — its closest relative in 117 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 June 2015): 42 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 67 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.