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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 18 times in 145 draws against 17.8 expected, +0.06σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 18 times in 145 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 20 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 28 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 7 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 28 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 28 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | 10 | 3rd | 42328313749 |
| 2026-08-12 | 6 | 5th | 22122232830 |
| 2026-07-22 | 7 | 5th | 91423242840 |
| 2026-06-27 | 6 | 4th | 91424283037 |
| 2026-06-06 | 1 | 3rd | 21528404349 |
| 2026-06-03 | 7 | 3rd | 232528304245 |
| 2026-05-09 | 19 | 3rd | 112628353846 |
| 2026-03-04 | 2 | 4th | 91324284243 |
| 2026-02-25 | 4 | 3rd | 111428334142 |
| 2026-02-11 | 4 | 5th | 3621232834 |
| 2026-01-28 | 5 | 3rd | 141628324249 |
| 2026-01-10 | 6 | 4th | 121623284142 |
| 2025-12-20 | 20 | 4th | 82026283342 |
| 2025-10-08 | 8 | 3rd | 41528364145 |
| 2025-09-10 | 4 | 2nd | 182830363940 |
| 2025-08-27 | 9 | 4th | 51118283740 |
| 2025-07-26 | 18 | 3rd | 162528333848 |
| 2025-05-24 | — | 4th | 121619282944 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 28 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.