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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 19 times in 145 draws against 17.8 expected, +0.32σ. Each draw is independent: after 19 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 19 times in 145 draws · average wait 6.7 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 19 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 6 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 7 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 6 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 2 | 1st | 6812203135 |
| 2026-07-29 | 1 | 2nd | 5621253248 |
| 2026-07-25 | 27 | 2nd | 269192745 |
| 2026-04-22 | 1 | 2nd | 3616194447 |
| 2026-04-18 | 4 | 1st | 61018364245 |
| 2026-04-04 | 2 | 2nd | 369111922 |
| 2026-03-28 | 6 | 3rd | 45682939 |
| 2026-03-07 | 7 | 1st | 61720242931 |
| 2026-02-11 | 3 | 2nd | 3621232834 |
| 2026-01-31 | 7 | 2nd | 5611131623 |
| 2026-01-07 | 9 | 1st | 61215313749 |
| 2025-12-06 | 6 | 1st | 6910124346 |
| 2025-11-15 | 3 | 3rd | 246192536 |
| 2025-11-01 | 12 | 1st | 6816374549 |
| 2025-09-20 | 9 | 2nd | 3611192225 |
| 2025-08-20 | 10 | 1st | 61113374146 |
| 2025-07-16 | 6 | 1st | 62237454648 |
| 2025-06-25 | 6 | 1st | 62025333443 |
| 2025-06-04 | — | 2nd | 2624324148 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 6 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.