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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 14 times in 145 draws against 17.8 expected, −0.95σ. Each draw is independent: after 44 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 145 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 44 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 10 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-12-10 | 6 | 6th | 2312171838 |
| 2025-11-19 | 17 | 6th | 3912223538 |
| 2025-09-17 | 1 | 5th | 92733353844 |
| 2025-09-13 | 4 | 6th | 31416323738 |
| 2025-08-30 | 4 | 6th | 152224303238 |
| 2025-08-16 | 3 | 5th | 72130333845 |
| 2025-08-06 | 3 | 5th | 12130323847 |
| 2025-07-26 | 1 | 5th | 162528333848 |
| 2025-07-23 | 12 | 5th | 71323353849 |
| 2025-06-11 | — | 4th | 131935383948 |