Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 16 times in 145 draws against 17.8 expected, −0.44σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 16 times in 145 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | 3 | 1st | 51424323744 |
| 2026-09-26 | 2 | 2nd | 4523344849 |
| 2026-09-19 | 15 | 1st | 51415172732 |
| 2026-07-29 | 12 | 1st | 5621253248 |
| 2026-06-17 | 2 | 1st | 51618222539 |
| 2026-06-10 | 10 | 1st | 5813232939 |
| 2026-05-06 | 7 | 1st | 51422303446 |
| 2026-04-11 | 4 | 1st | 5911394046 |
| 2026-03-28 | 10 | 2nd | 45682939 |
| 2026-02-21 | 1 | 1st | 5914204043 |
| 2026-02-18 | 3 | 1st | 51519344348 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2 | 2nd | 1514223036 |
| 2026-01-31 | 30 | 1st | 5611131623 |
| 2025-10-15 | 3 | 1st | 5910434548 |
| 2025-10-04 | 11 | 2nd | 3512274148 |
| 2025-08-27 | — | 1st | 51118283740 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.