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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 10 times in 145 draws against 17.8 expected, −1.96σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 10 times in 145 draws · average wait 14.3 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 8 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 26 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 18 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 17 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 26 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 26 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 26 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-05-09 | 4 | 2nd | 112628353846 |
| 2026-04-25 | 12 | 4th | 31125263048 |
| 2026-03-14 | 24 | 5th | 1216202630 |
| 2025-12-20 | 15 | 3rd | 82026283342 |
| 2025-10-25 | 38 | 3rd | 182426303135 |
| 2025-06-14 | — | 2nd | 202630313537 |