In Québec 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 6 from 1–49.
10times drawn · chance expected 18 −1.96σ
17draws waiting · a wait this long: 12% for any number
12.7average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
50longest completed wait · 1% chance of one at least that long
21 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 10 times in 145 draws against 17.8 expected, −1.96σ. Each draw is independent: after 17 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
21
Number 21, draw by draw
Drawn 10 times in 145 draws · average wait 12.7 draws · longest completed wait 50 · waiting 17 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 17 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.