Number 40

In Québec 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 6 from 1–49.

20times drawn · chance expected 18 +0.57σ

9draws waiting · a wait this long: 35% for any number

7.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

24longest completed wait · 62% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 20 times in 145 draws against 17.8 expected, +0.57σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 20 times in 145 draws · average wait 7.1 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 9 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.1
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.7
4th smallest3 · chance 3.8
5th smallest9 · chance 8.6
6th smallest8 · chance 6.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

9 11 18 14 28 31

Never drawn alongside 3 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-09	3	5th	12 14 22 33 40 48
2026-08-29	1	6th	11 15 27 29 31 40
2026-08-26	2	5th	23 25 31 37 40 44
2026-08-19	8	4th	11 29 31 40 42 47
2026-07-22	3	6th	9 14 23 24 28 40
2026-07-11	10	5th	4 9 16 18 40 45
2026-06-06	6	4th	2 15 28 40 43 49
2026-05-16	4	4th	15 22 26 40 41 42
2026-05-02	6	6th	7 19 34 37 38 40
2026-04-11	5	5th	5 9 11 39 40 46
2026-03-25	9	5th	7 8 11 35 40 42
2026-02-21	23	5th	5 9 14 20 40 43
2025-12-03	3	5th	3 12 17 27 40 47
2025-11-22	9	5th	8 13 17 39 40 42
2025-10-18	11	6th	2 16 18 20 31 40
2025-09-10	1	6th	18 28 30 36 39 40
2025-09-06	3	6th	9 14 18 25 29 40
2025-08-27	4	6th	5 11 18 28 37 40
2025-08-13	24	6th	10 19 32 34 35 40
2025-05-21	—	5th	8 10 22 34 40 49

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0

2nd smallest0 · chance 0.1

3rd smallest0 · chance 0.7

4th smallest3 · chance 3.8

5th smallest9 · chance 8.6

6th smallest8 · chance 6.7

How many people play it

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

Date

Wait

Position

The draw

2026-09-09

5th

12 14 22 33 40 48

2026-08-29

6th

11 15 27 29 31 40

2026-08-26

5th

23 25 31 37 40 44

2026-08-19

4th

11 29 31 40 42 47

2026-07-22

6th

9 14 23 24 28 40

2026-07-11

5th

4 9 16 18 40 45

2026-06-06

4th

2 15 28 40 43 49

2026-05-16

4th

15 22 26 40 41 42

2026-05-02

6th

7 19 34 37 38 40

2026-04-11

5th

5 9 11 39 40 46

2026-03-25

5th

7 8 11 35 40 42

2026-02-21

5th

5 9 14 20 40 43

2025-12-03

5th

3 12 17 27 40 47

2025-11-22

5th

8 13 17 39 40 42

2025-10-18

6th

2 16 18 20 31 40

2025-09-10

6th

18 28 30 36 39 40

2025-09-06

6th

9 14 18 25 29 40

2025-08-27

6th

5 11 18 28 37 40

2025-08-13

6th

10 19 32 34 35 40

2025-05-21

—

5th

8 10 22 34 40 49