Number 15

In Megabucks under the 6/49 · since Apr 2010 rules — 1,724 draws, 6 from 1–49.

198times drawn · chance expected 211 −0.96σ

9draws waiting · a wait this long: 35% for any number

8.7average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

49longest completed wait · 31% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 198 times in 1,724 draws against 211.1 expected, −0.96σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 198 times in 1,724 draws · average wait 8.7 draws · longest completed wait 49 · waiting 9 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest32 · chance 32.2
2nd smallest66 · chance 75.1
3rd smallest72 · chance 63.0
4th smallest24 · chance 23.6
5th smallest3 · chance 3.9
6th smallest1 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 20.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

40 49 1 6 7 36

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-09	2	2nd	8 15 23 28 35 37
2026-09-02	3	1st	15 19 20 23 28 40
2026-08-22	1	2nd	11 15 25 37 39 44
2026-08-19	20	3rd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-03-19	2	2nd	6 15 24 33 41 47
2025-03-12	24	3rd	4 10 15 40 42 49
2024-12-18	11	3rd	11 14 15 29 42 44
2024-11-09	3	4th	2 10 12 15 19 48
2024-10-30	8	3rd	5 7 15 27 36 49
2024-10-02	8	2nd	13 15 18 23 33 39
2024-09-04	11	3rd	6 11 15 26 30 31
2024-07-27	7	3rd	6 10 15 18 20 30
2024-07-03	5	3rd	1 6 15 20 36 48
2024-06-15	4	2nd	3 15 29 34 43 45
2024-06-01	5	2nd	11 15 19 23 39 43
2024-05-15	9	5th	1 2 6 13 15 36
2024-04-13	10	2nd	3 15 25 30 38 41
2024-03-09	15	1st	15 18 29 42 43 49
2024-01-17	23	3rd	6 9 15 35 45 47
2023-10-28	15	2nd	12 15 28 31 36 40
2023-09-06	1	3rd	1 4 15 34 35 46
2023-09-02	11	2nd	9 15 21 28 43 49
2023-07-26	2	2nd	11 15 19 21 26 29
2023-07-19	4	4th	1 2 4 15 37 47
2023-07-05	4	1st	15 20 27 28 37 43
2023-06-21	21	3rd	12 13 15 19 35 48
2023-04-08	3	2nd	11 15 19 25 46 47
2023-03-29	1	2nd	9 15 30 35 45 49
2023-03-25	5	2nd	1 15 23 24 27 33
2023-03-08	6	2nd	14 15 19 27 36 44
2023-02-15	9	2nd	12 15 20 30 35 47
2023-01-14	2	4th	3 6 13 15 18 25
2023-01-07	12	2nd	4 15 20 21 41 47
2022-11-26	1	4th	1 2 7 15 35 42
2022-11-23	2	2nd	1 15 23 29 46 47
2022-11-16	4	3rd	1 7 15 24 41 44
2022-11-02	6	2nd	7 15 30 32 44 47
2022-10-12	5	3rd	2 7 15 31 40 49
2022-09-24	9	1st	15 20 28 34 45 49
2022-08-24	9	3rd	3 7 15 19 39 42
2022-07-23	2	3rd	12 14 15 35 39 49
2022-07-16	13	3rd	1 10 15 20 25 49
2022-06-01	1	3rd	3 13 15 18 24 40
2022-05-28	6	2nd	4 15 18 25 31 37
2022-05-07	10	1st	15 18 22 23 45 48
2022-04-02	1	3rd	6 7 15 21 23 46
2022-03-30	6	1st	15 18 19 23 31 38
2022-03-09	4	2nd	10 15 16 35 38 45
2022-02-23	2	2nd	10 15 16 18 19 39
2022-02-16	8	2nd	1 15 29 34 43 45
2022-01-19	13	2nd	14 15 19 28 39 43
2021-12-04	49	2nd	3 15 17 26 28 40
2021-06-16	8	4th	4 5 11 15 22 48
2021-05-19	1	2nd	14 15 26 27 31 42
2021-05-15	1	3rd	10 11 15 25 28 42
2021-05-12	8	3rd	1 11 15 42 46 49
2021-04-14	1	2nd	13 15 28 38 44 48
2021-04-10	1	3rd	7 13 15 21 24 36
2021-04-07	22	2nd	5 15 16 26 34 37
2021-01-20	15	2nd	2 15 21 30 34 40
2020-11-28	6	3rd	10 13 15 19 28 35
2020-11-07	7	2nd	6 15 28 41 44 46
2020-10-14	15	1st	15 17 19 27 37 43
2020-08-22	12	1st	15 16 17 26 42 44
2020-07-11	3	2nd	14 15 20 32 34 48
2020-07-01	11	4th	1 3 11 15 29 39
2020-05-23	6	4th	1 12 13 15 41 45
2020-05-02	12	3rd	7 14 15 22 23 42
2020-03-21	3	2nd	6 15 17 31 32 48
2020-03-11	6	3rd	2 4 15 27 31 49
2020-02-19	3	3rd	5 9 15 22 28 35
2020-02-08	6	2nd	4 15 35 38 46 49
2020-01-18	1	2nd	6 15 19 36 38 46
2020-01-15	37	4th	1 9 14 15 19 40
2019-09-07	36	1st	15 26 31 44 46 49
2019-05-04	3	1st	15 23 32 34 36 44
2019-04-24	6	3rd	8 9 15 17 33 40
2019-04-03	2	2nd	6 15 27 33 36 42
2019-03-27	1	3rd	1 8 15 27 30 33
2019-03-23	18	1st	15 16 28 30 35 41
2019-01-19	3	3rd	4 8 15 18 38 41
2019-01-09	15	2nd	3 15 28 36 38 41
2018-11-17	13	1st	15 23 29 38 42 43
2018-10-03	2	3rd	1 12 15 18 22 46
2018-09-26	10	4th	7 10 14 15 21 27
2018-08-22	8	1st	15 23 28 31 36 41
2018-07-25	5	3rd	5 7 15 25 40 42
2018-07-07	12	3rd	4 14 15 16 38 43
2018-05-26	8	2nd	2 15 20 31 42 45
2018-04-28	10	3rd	1 6 15 22 23 27
2018-03-24	7	1st	15 25 26 31 35 46
2018-02-28	8	2nd	7 15 24 28 38 44
2018-01-31	4	4th	5 7 12 15 37 42
2018-01-17	15	1st	15 17 23 33 36 39
2017-11-25	12	1st	15 27 33 38 43 46
2017-10-14	11	2nd	6 15 21 22 23 24
2017-09-06	20	2nd	5 15 20 26 30 35
2017-06-28	1	3rd	3 5 15 24 39 40
2017-06-24	28	2nd	6 15 22 31 43 48
2017-03-18	8	5th	3 8 9 13 15 44
2017-02-18	8	2nd	10 15 20 28 35 47
2017-01-21	5	3rd	6 8 15 21 30 43
2017-01-04	13	4th	5 7 10 15 25 26
2016-11-19	10	3rd	4 9 15 19 22 23
2016-10-15	14	3rd	2 7 15 38 40 48
2016-08-27	14	1st	15 22 29 36 40 47
2016-07-09	2	2nd	11 15 22 39 46 48
2016-07-02	9	2nd	14 15 24 39 42 45
2016-06-01	4	1st	15 29 32 33 40 48
2016-05-18	23	2nd	5 15 18 24 30 40
2016-02-27	1	2nd	2 15 23 32 39 48
2016-02-24	1	3rd	2 12 15 24 29 39
2016-02-20	9	3rd	2 12 15 16 23 35
2016-01-20	1	4th	2 4 14 15 27 40
2016-01-16	2	1st	15 31 35 37 44 46
2016-01-09	3	3rd	5 12 15 34 47 49
2015-12-30	19	1st	15 16 17 27 38 40
2015-10-24	1	2nd	5 15 23 26 31 40
2015-10-21	9	2nd	6 15 30 43 46 49
2015-09-19	3	3rd	4 7 15 35 36 48
2015-09-09	5	2nd	1 15 16 27 39 42
2015-08-22	11	1st	15 30 38 42 46 49
2015-07-15	24	3rd	1 10 15 26 38 40
2015-04-22	22	2nd	13 15 18 27 30 39
2015-02-04	19	4th	4 9 10 15 30 36
2014-11-29	1	1st	15 18 20 35 36 48
2014-11-26	13	3rd	1 10 15 37 39 41
2014-10-11	4	3rd	5 7 15 22 39 43
2014-09-27	19	3rd	1 7 15 30 35 41
2014-07-23	1	2nd	13 15 21 24 26 34
2014-07-19	12	4th	2 4 6 15 38 49
2014-06-07	9	3rd	7 8 15 32 33 48
2014-05-07	12	4th	3 4 10 15 36 42
2014-03-26	12	3rd	4 8 15 16 28 45
2014-02-12	5	3rd	5 8 15 16 18 46
2014-01-25	1	6th	3 6 7 9 11 15
2014-01-22	9	4th	6 7 10 15 16 19
2013-12-21	3	4th	2 5 9 15 38 45
2013-12-11	1	3rd	13 14 15 17 18 35
2013-12-07	7	2nd	5 15 16 28 47 48
2013-11-13	4	1st	15 16 18 19 28 47
2013-10-30	7	3rd	1 8 15 32 40 46
2013-10-05	11	3rd	1 8 15 16 38 41
2013-08-28	18	3rd	8 12 15 21 22 47
2013-06-26	1	2nd	9 15 26 30 34 36
2013-06-22	4	4th	3 10 12 15 30 41
2013-06-08	6	3rd	8 12 15 19 26 45
2013-05-18	26	2nd	14 15 16 30 41 45
2013-02-16	5	4th	8 9 12 15 19 29
2013-01-30	24	1st	15 34 36 39 42 46
2012-11-07	14	2nd	9 15 26 30 36 45
2012-09-19	15	3rd	10 14 15 19 32 42
2012-07-28	14	3rd	6 11 15 22 40 41
2012-06-09	21	1st	15 27 31 34 38 40
2012-03-28	4	3rd	10 13 15 30 38 39
2012-03-14	19	1st	15 22 29 41 42 44
2012-01-07	1	2nd	9 15 21 36 37 41
2012-01-04	4	3rd	2 5 15 21 22 49
2011-12-21	5	3rd	7 9 15 37 38 43
2011-12-03	10	2nd	2 15 16 25 36 46
2011-10-29	2	1st	15 27 29 40 44 49
2011-10-22	4	3rd	3 4 15 16 28 41
2011-10-08	4	2nd	7 15 25 28 34 49
2011-09-24	4	2nd	13 15 24 34 40 47
2011-09-10	10	5th	1 3 10 11 15 20
2011-08-06	2	3rd	5 12 15 28 40 49
2011-07-30	11	3rd	2 9 15 18 32 48
2011-06-22	4	3rd	1 6 15 18 40 49
2011-06-08	23	3rd	9 11 15 35 37 38
2011-03-19	2	3rd	5 12 15 16 27 40
2011-03-12	1	4th	4 10 11 15 23 43
2011-03-09	3	2nd	13 15 16 30 47 48
2011-02-26	27	3rd	6 7 15 19 43 49
2010-11-24	28	4th	4 6 14 15 29 31
2010-08-18	7	2nd	8 15 18 31 37 39
2010-07-24	9	3rd	2 6 15 26 40 49
2010-06-23	18	1st	15 16 25 35 39 49
2010-04-21	—	3rd	1 3 15 20 24 44