Megabucks · every number
16
Number 16 In Megabucks under the 6/49 · since Apr 2010 rules — 1,724 draws, 6 from 1–49.
212 times drawn · chance expected 211 +0.07σ
22 draws waiting · a wait this long: 6% for any number
8.1 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
46 longest completed wait · 45% chance of one at least that long
16 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 212 times in 1,724 draws against 211.1 expected, +0.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 22 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
16 Number 16, draw by draw Drawn 212 times in 1,724 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 46 · waiting 22 draws now
5 draws: 2010-04-10 to 2010-04-28 14 draws: 2010-04-28 to 2010-06-16 2 draws: 2010-06-16 to 2010-06-23 31 draws: 2010-06-23 to 2010-10-09 6 draws: 2010-10-09 to 2010-10-30 4 draws: 2010-10-30 to 2010-11-13 2 draws: 2010-11-13 to 2010-11-20 2 draws: 2010-11-20 to 2010-11-27 4 draws: 2010-11-27 to 2010-12-11 3 draws: 2010-12-11 to 2010-12-22 3 draws: 2010-12-22 to 2011-01-01 1 draws: 2011-01-01 to 2011-01-05 10 draws: 2011-01-05 to 2011-02-09 8 draws: 2011-02-09 to 2011-03-09 3 draws: 2011-03-09 to 2011-03-19 22 draws: 2011-03-19 to 2011-06-04 15 draws: 2011-06-04 to 2011-07-27 8 draws: 2011-07-27 to 2011-08-24 1 draws: 2011-08-24 to 2011-08-27 3 draws: 2011-08-27 to 2011-09-07 13 draws: 2011-09-07 to 2011-10-22 3 draws: 2011-10-22 to 2011-11-02 9 draws: 2011-11-02 to 2011-12-03 3 draws: 2011-12-03 to 2011-12-14 11 draws: 2011-12-14 to 2012-01-21 13 draws: 2012-01-21 to 2012-03-07 13 draws: 2012-03-07 to 2012-04-21 2 draws: 2012-04-21 to 2012-04-28 2 draws: 2012-04-28 to 2012-05-05 6 draws: 2012-05-05 to 2012-05-26 6 draws: 2012-05-26 to 2012-06-16 19 draws: 2012-06-16 to 2012-08-22 4 draws: 2012-08-22 to 2012-09-05 1 draws: 2012-09-05 to 2012-09-08 6 draws: 2012-09-08 to 2012-09-29 6 draws: 2012-09-29 to 2012-10-20 2 draws: 2012-10-20 to 2012-10-27 2 draws: 2012-10-27 to 2012-11-03 5 draws: 2012-11-03 to 2012-11-21 4 draws: 2012-11-21 to 2012-12-05 3 draws: 2012-12-05 to 2012-12-15 6 draws: 2012-12-15 to 2013-01-05 8 draws: 2013-01-05 to 2013-02-02 6 draws: 2013-02-02 to 2013-02-23 7 draws: 2013-02-23 to 2013-03-20 5 draws: 2013-03-20 to 2013-04-06 1 draws: 2013-04-06 to 2013-04-10 1 draws: 2013-04-10 to 2013-04-13 2 draws: 2013-04-13 to 2013-04-20 8 draws: 2013-04-20 to 2013-05-18 2 draws: 2013-05-18 to 2013-05-25 19 draws: 2013-05-25 to 2013-07-31 4 draws: 2013-07-31 to 2013-08-14 6 draws: 2013-08-14 to 2013-09-04 7 draws: 2013-09-04 to 2013-09-28 1 draws: 2013-09-28 to 2013-10-02 1 draws: 2013-10-02 to 2013-10-05 11 draws: 2013-10-05 to 2013-11-13 3 draws: 2013-11-13 to 2013-11-23 2 draws: 2013-11-23 to 2013-11-30 1 draws: 2013-11-30 to 2013-12-04 1 draws: 2013-12-04 to 2013-12-07 6 draws: 2013-12-07 to 2013-12-28 7 draws: 2013-12-28 to 2014-01-22 6 draws: 2014-01-22 to 2014-02-12 4 draws: 2014-02-12 to 2014-02-26 7 draws: 2014-02-26 to 2014-03-22 1 draws: 2014-03-22 to 2014-03-26 3 draws: 2014-03-26 to 2014-04-05 2 draws: 2014-04-05 to 2014-04-12 1 draws: 2014-04-12 to 2014-04-16 5 draws: 2014-04-16 to 2014-05-03 6 draws: 2014-05-03 to 2014-05-24 3 draws: 2014-05-24 to 2014-06-04 20 draws: 2014-06-04 to 2014-08-13 2 draws: 2014-08-13 to 2014-08-20 12 draws: 2014-08-20 to 2014-10-01 18 draws: 2014-10-01 to 2014-12-03 2 draws: 2014-12-03 to 2014-12-10 3 draws: 2014-12-10 to 2014-12-20 3 draws: 2014-12-20 to 2014-12-31 11 draws: 2014-12-31 to 2015-02-07 14 draws: 2015-02-07 to 2015-03-28 5 draws: 2015-03-28 to 2015-04-15 15 draws: 2015-04-15 to 2015-06-06 3 draws: 2015-06-06 to 2015-06-17 9 draws: 2015-06-17 to 2015-07-18 1 draws: 2015-07-18 to 2015-07-22 2 draws: 2015-07-22 to 2015-07-29 4 draws: 2015-07-29 to 2015-08-12 8 draws: 2015-08-12 to 2015-09-09 9 draws: 2015-09-09 to 2015-10-10 2 draws: 2015-10-10 to 2015-10-17 7 draws: 2015-10-17 to 2015-11-11 12 draws: 2015-11-11 to 2015-12-23 2 draws: 2015-12-23 to 2015-12-30 8 draws: 2015-12-30 to 2016-01-27 3 draws: 2016-01-27 to 2016-02-06 4 draws: 2016-02-06 to 2016-02-20 4 draws: 2016-02-20 to 2016-03-05 3 draws: 2016-03-05 to 2016-03-16 14 draws: 2016-03-16 to 2016-05-04 6 draws: 2016-05-04 to 2016-05-25 24 draws: 2016-05-25 to 2016-08-17 12 draws: 2016-08-17 to 2016-09-28 17 draws: 2016-09-28 to 2016-11-26 21 draws: 2016-11-26 to 2017-02-08 14 draws: 2017-02-08 to 2017-03-29 5 draws: 2017-03-29 to 2017-04-15 3 draws: 2017-04-15 to 2017-04-26 4 draws: 2017-04-26 to 2017-05-10 23 draws: 2017-05-10 to 2017-07-29 8 draws: 2017-07-29 to 2017-08-26 23 draws: 2017-08-26 to 2017-11-15 10 draws: 2017-11-15 to 2017-12-20 5 draws: 2017-12-20 to 2018-01-06 5 draws: 2018-01-06 to 2018-01-24 7 draws: 2018-01-24 to 2018-02-17 9 draws: 2018-02-17 to 2018-03-21 2 draws: 2018-03-21 to 2018-03-28 1 draws: 2018-03-28 to 2018-03-31 1 draws: 2018-03-31 to 2018-04-04 3 draws: 2018-04-04 to 2018-04-14 1 draws: 2018-04-14 to 2018-04-18 2 draws: 2018-04-18 to 2018-04-25 13 draws: 2018-04-25 to 2018-06-09 3 draws: 2018-06-09 to 2018-06-20 5 draws: 2018-06-20 to 2018-07-07 21 draws: 2018-07-07 to 2018-09-19 20 draws: 2018-09-19 to 2018-11-28 3 draws: 2018-11-28 to 2018-12-08 24 draws: 2018-12-08 to 2019-03-02 6 draws: 2019-03-02 to 2019-03-23 13 draws: 2019-03-23 to 2019-05-08 11 draws: 2019-05-08 to 2019-06-15 11 draws: 2019-06-15 to 2019-07-24 1 draws: 2019-07-24 to 2019-07-27 13 draws: 2019-07-27 to 2019-09-11 3 draws: 2019-09-11 to 2019-09-21 28 draws: 2019-09-21 to 2019-12-28 9 draws: 2019-12-28 to 2020-01-29 4 draws: 2020-01-29 to 2020-02-12 4 draws: 2020-02-12 to 2020-02-26 6 draws: 2020-02-26 to 2020-03-18 22 draws: 2020-03-18 to 2020-06-03 15 draws: 2020-06-03 to 2020-07-25 1 draws: 2020-07-25 to 2020-07-29 7 draws: 2020-07-29 to 2020-08-22 3 draws: 2020-08-22 to 2020-09-02 1 draws: 2020-09-02 to 2020-09-05 6 draws: 2020-09-05 to 2020-09-26 2 draws: 2020-09-26 to 2020-10-03 8 draws: 2020-10-03 to 2020-10-31 44 draws: 2020-10-31 to 2021-04-03 1 draws: 2021-04-03 to 2021-04-07 4 draws: 2021-04-07 to 2021-04-21 5 draws: 2021-04-21 to 2021-05-08 4 draws: 2021-05-08 to 2021-05-22 13 draws: 2021-05-22 to 2021-07-07 1 draws: 2021-07-07 to 2021-07-10 5 draws: 2021-07-10 to 2021-07-28 21 draws: 2021-07-28 to 2021-10-09 20 draws: 2021-10-09 to 2021-12-18 7 draws: 2021-12-18 to 2022-01-12 1 draws: 2022-01-12 to 2022-01-15 3 draws: 2022-01-15 to 2022-01-26 8 draws: 2022-01-26 to 2022-02-23 4 draws: 2022-02-23 to 2022-03-09 10 draws: 2022-03-09 to 2022-04-13 6 draws: 2022-04-13 to 2022-05-04 13 draws: 2022-05-04 to 2022-06-18 1 draws: 2022-06-18 to 2022-06-22 11 draws: 2022-06-22 to 2022-07-30 10 draws: 2022-07-30 to 2022-09-03 2 draws: 2022-09-03 to 2022-09-10 23 draws: 2022-09-10 to 2022-11-30 39 draws: 2022-11-30 to 2023-04-15 4 draws: 2023-04-15 to 2023-04-29 16 draws: 2023-04-29 to 2023-06-24 8 draws: 2023-06-24 to 2023-07-22 2 draws: 2023-07-22 to 2023-07-29 4 draws: 2023-07-29 to 2023-08-12 2 draws: 2023-08-12 to 2023-08-19 7 draws: 2023-08-19 to 2023-09-13 5 draws: 2023-09-13 to 2023-09-30 1 draws: 2023-09-30 to 2023-10-04 4 draws: 2023-10-04 to 2023-10-18 2 draws: 2023-10-18 to 2023-10-25 8 draws: 2023-10-25 to 2023-11-22 6 draws: 2023-11-22 to 2023-12-13 12 draws: 2023-12-13 to 2024-01-24 11 draws: 2024-01-24 to 2024-03-02 7 draws: 2024-03-02 to 2024-03-27 26 draws: 2024-03-27 to 2024-06-26 10 draws: 2024-06-26 to 2024-07-31 5 draws: 2024-07-31 to 2024-08-17 30 draws: 2024-08-17 to 2024-11-30 8 draws: 2024-11-30 to 2024-12-28 2 draws: 2024-12-28 to 2025-01-04 8 draws: 2025-01-04 to 2025-02-01 5 draws: 2025-02-01 to 2025-02-19 46 draws: 2025-02-19 to 2025-07-30 13 draws: 2025-07-30 to 2025-09-13 4 draws: 2025-09-13 to 2025-09-27 16 draws: 2025-09-27 to 2025-11-22 4 draws: 2025-11-22 to 2025-12-06 2 draws: 2025-12-06 to 2025-12-13 11 draws: 2025-12-13 to 2026-01-21 37 draws: 2026-01-21 to 2026-05-30 9 draws: 2026-05-30 to 2026-07-01 7 draws: 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-25 Still waiting — at least 22 draws since 2026-07-25 2010-04-10 2010-04-28 2010-06-16 2010-06-23 2010-10-09 2010-10-30 2010-11-13 2010-11-20 2010-11-27 2010-12-11 2010-12-22 2011-01-01 2011-01-05 2011-02-09 2011-03-09 2011-03-19 2011-06-04 2011-07-27 2011-08-24 2011-08-27 2011-09-07 2011-10-22 2011-11-02 2011-12-03 2011-12-14 2012-01-21 2012-03-07 2012-04-21 2012-04-28 2012-05-05 2012-05-26 2012-06-16 2012-08-22 2012-09-05 2012-09-08 2012-09-29 2012-10-20 2012-10-27 2012-11-03 2012-11-21 2012-12-05 2012-12-15 2013-01-05 2013-02-02 2013-02-23 2013-03-20 2013-04-06 2013-04-10 2013-04-13 2013-04-20 2013-05-18 2013-05-25 2013-07-31 2013-08-14 2013-09-04 2013-09-28 2013-10-02 2013-10-05 2013-11-13 2013-11-23 2013-11-30 2013-12-04 2013-12-07 2013-12-28 2014-01-22 2014-02-12 2014-02-26 2014-03-22 2014-03-26 2014-04-05 2014-04-12 2014-04-16 2014-05-03 2014-05-24 2014-06-04 2014-08-13 2014-08-20 2014-10-01 2014-12-03 2014-12-10 2014-12-20 2014-12-31 2015-02-07 2015-03-28 2015-04-15 2015-06-06 2015-06-17 2015-07-18 2015-07-22 2015-07-29 2015-08-12 2015-09-09 2015-10-10 2015-10-17 2015-11-11 2015-12-23 2015-12-30 2016-01-27 2016-02-06 2016-02-20 2016-03-05 2016-03-16 2016-05-04 2016-05-25 2016-08-17 2016-09-28 2016-11-26 2017-02-08 2017-03-29 2017-04-15 2017-04-26 2017-05-10 2017-07-29 2017-08-26 2017-11-15 2017-12-20 2018-01-06 2018-01-24 2018-02-17 2018-03-21 2018-03-28 2018-03-31 2018-04-04 2018-04-14 2018-04-18 2018-04-25 2018-06-09 2018-06-20 2018-07-07 2018-09-19 2018-11-28 2018-12-08 2019-03-02 2019-03-23 2019-05-08 2019-06-15 2019-07-24 2019-07-27 2019-09-11 2019-09-21 2019-12-28 2020-01-29 2020-02-12 2020-02-26 2020-03-18 2020-06-03 2020-07-25 2020-07-29 2020-08-22 2020-09-02 2020-09-05 2020-09-26 2020-10-03 2020-10-31 2021-04-03 2021-04-07 2021-04-21 2021-05-08 2021-05-22 2021-07-07 2021-07-10 2021-07-28 2021-10-09 2021-12-18 2022-01-12 2022-01-15 2022-01-26 2022-02-23 2022-03-09 2022-04-13 2022-05-04 2022-06-18 2022-06-22 2022-07-30 2022-09-03 2022-09-10 2022-11-30 2023-04-15 2023-04-29 2023-06-24 2023-07-22 2023-07-29 2023-08-12 2023-08-19 2023-09-13 2023-09-30 2023-10-04 2023-10-18 2023-10-25 2023-11-22 2023-12-13 2024-01-24 2024-03-02 2024-03-27 2024-06-26 2024-07-31 2024-08-17 2024-11-30 2024-12-28 2025-01-04 2025-02-01 2025-02-19 2025-07-30 2025-09-13 2025-09-27 2025-11-22 2025-12-06 2025-12-13 2026-01-21 2026-05-30 2026-07-01 2026-07-25 2010-04-07 2026-10-10 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 23 times 2 draws: 25 times 3 draws: 22 times 4 draws: 20 times 5 draws: 14 times 6 draws: 17 times 7 draws: 11 times 8 draws: 13 times 9 draws: 6 times 10 draws: 5 times 11 draws: 8 times 12 draws: 4 times 13 draws: 9 times 14 draws: 4 times 15 draws: 3 times 16 draws: 2 times 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 3 times 21 draws: 3 times 22 draws: 2 times 23 draws: 3 times 24 draws: 2 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 1 time 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 1 time 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 1 time 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 1 time 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 1 time 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 1 time 47 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 24 · chance 29.4 2nd smallest 71 · chance 76.0 3rd smallest 82 · chance 70.9 4th smallest 31 · chance 29.7 5th smallest 4 · chance 5.6 6th smallest 0 · chance 0.4 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 22.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 15 Every number number 17 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.