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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

Megabucks · draw

Saturday, 9 November 2024

ResultMegabucks

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 10
  3. 12
  4. 15
  5. 19
  6. 48

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 · since Apr 2010draw 1,524 of 1,728 under them

← 2024-11-06All recent draws2024-11-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 10 12 15 19 4829 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

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This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 November 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd20th
  • low94th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 186 of each

2190times
10179times
12168times
15170times
19189times
48175times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,523 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 10, 19, 48) with the draw of 22 June 2024 — its closest relative in 1,523 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 November 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-11-09

  • Lines in play≈ 282kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$18.4Kto 5.2k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 54lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 52.7%$500
  • Match 443%$7.9K
  • Match 354%$10K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.02 by chance$2,400,000
  2. Match 51≈ 5.2 by chance$500
  3. Match 4264≈ 273 by chance$30.00
  4. Match 34,982≈ 5.0k by chance$2.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈282k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,982 winners, 0% more than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 60$2,400,000
Match 51$500
Match 4264$30.00
Match 34,982$2.00
Totals5,247—