Number 4

In Megabucks under the 6/49 · since Apr 2010 rules — 1,724 draws, 6 from 1–49.

212times drawn · chance expected 211 +0.07σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

83longest completed wait · 0.5% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 212 times in 1,724 draws against 211.1 expected, +0.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 212 times in 1,724 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 83 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest154 · chance 151.3
2nd smallest50 · chance 55.3
3rd smallest6 · chance 5.3
4th smallest2 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 22.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

16 42 43 21 38 41

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-03	27	1st	4 19 37 38 42 45
2026-07-01	5	1st	4 16 24 28 41 45
2026-06-13	4	1st	4 23 28 32 43 48
2026-05-30	83	1st	4 16 22 34 46 48
2025-08-13	2	1st	4 12 26 33 44 49
2025-08-06	24	1st	4 15 22 36 45 49
2025-05-14	1	2nd	2 4 14 18 29 30
2025-05-10	5	1st	4 5 10 14 44 48
2025-04-23	9	1st	4 5 22 34 41 46
2025-03-22	3	2nd	1 4 6 33 37 49
2025-03-12	2	1st	4 10 15 40 42 49
2025-03-05	9	2nd	2 4 5 21 35 41
2025-02-01	5	1st	4 9 16 20 37 40
2025-01-15	16	2nd	1 4 8 17 26 44
2024-11-20	39	1st	4 9 26 29 38 42
2024-07-06	9	1st	4 13 26 32 41 46
2024-06-05	3	2nd	2 4 5 25 28 44
2024-05-25	15	1st	4 7 18 25 41 42
2024-04-03	2	1st	4 5 21 36 43 49
2024-03-27	4	1st	4 16 21 33 34 49
2024-03-13	2	1st	4 21 33 36 39 40
2024-03-06	5	2nd	2 4 14 19 26 35
2024-02-17	1	1st	4 18 28 29 35 42
2024-02-14	12	1st	4 19 23 28 34 36

The other 188 appearances

2024-01-03	4	1st	4 9 10 27 41 43
2023-12-20	5	1st	4 9 13 20 35 39
2023-12-02	2	1st	4 14 27 31 33 40
2023-11-25	2	3rd	1 3 4 23 28 41
2023-11-18	1	2nd	1 4 6 19 20 29
2023-11-15	3	1st	4 5 18 21 29 33
2023-11-04	4	1st	4 7 11 41 45 49
2023-10-21	8	1st	4 9 31 34 44 46
2023-09-23	5	1st	4 11 14 38 41 48
2023-09-06	2	2nd	1 4 15 34 35 46
2023-08-30	3	2nd	1 4 8 9 30 35
2023-08-19	2	1st	4 11 16 24 28 38
2023-08-12	6	1st	4 12 16 45 47 49
2023-07-22	1	1st	4 16 20 21 24 39
2023-07-19	1	3rd	1 2 4 15 37 47
2023-07-15	47	1st	4 6 23 25 27 42
2023-02-01	7	1st	4 6 12 21 24 42
2023-01-07	1	1st	4 15 20 21 41 47
2023-01-04	6	1st	4 6 12 17 27 28
2022-12-14	10	3rd	1 3 4 18 39 41
2022-11-09	9	1st	4 14 20 34 39 43
2022-10-08	1	1st	4 14 27 37 41 49
2022-10-05	8	2nd	1 4 10 12 20 35
2022-09-07	1	1st	4 5 8 27 34 46
2022-09-03	1	2nd	3 4 16 17 21 40
2022-08-31	8	1st	4 6 22 26 35 46
2022-08-03	19	1st	4 24 30 37 44 46
2022-05-28	7	1st	4 15 18 25 31 37
2022-05-04	15	2nd	3 4 16 21 26 33
2022-03-12	8	1st	4 20 24 33 36 42
2022-02-12	9	1st	4 18 20 23 28 43
2022-01-12	17	2nd	3 4 10 16 39 43
2021-11-13	18	1st	4 7 9 34 44 47
2021-09-11	20	1st	4 12 23 24 25 40
2021-07-03	4	2nd	2 4 6 12 26 42
2021-06-19	1	1st	4 8 17 33 40 44
2021-06-16	4	1st	4 5 11 15 22 48
2021-06-02	18	1st	4 35 38 42 45 49
2021-03-31	10	1st	4 14 24 27 39 42
2021-02-24	4	1st	4 32 40 42 45 48
2021-02-10	1	2nd	3 4 14 19 21 34
2021-02-06	3	1st	4 8 25 40 43 46
2021-01-27	3	1st	4 6 35 36 41 46
2021-01-16	1	1st	4 18 19 26 34 41
2021-01-13	3	1st	4 14 20 21 46 48
2021-01-02	17	1st	4 11 34 35 39 43
2020-11-04	19	1st	4 5 8 23 40 43
2020-08-29	5	3rd	1 3 4 7 36 47
2020-08-12	6	2nd	3 4 6 10 18 20
2020-07-22	4	1st	4 6 17 25 28 31
2020-07-08	15	1st	4 8 13 24 42 49
2020-05-16	2	2nd	1 4 20 33 37 46
2020-05-09	12	1st	4 6 8 12 29 49
2020-03-28	5	1st	4 18 37 46 48 49
2020-03-11	8	2nd	2 4 15 27 31 49
2020-02-12	1	2nd	2 4 16 22 45 49
2020-02-08	5	1st	4 15 35 38 46 49
2020-01-22	12	1st	4 6 19 21 33 42
2019-12-11	9	1st	4 21 30 31 38 48
2019-11-09	9	1st	4 29 38 43 44 49
2019-10-09	4	2nd	3 4 6 17 21 33
2019-09-25	1	1st	4 9 10 31 32 39
2019-09-21	7	2nd	2 4 9 16 26 28
2019-08-28	8	1st	4 11 24 25 27 41
2019-07-31	2	1st	4 13 17 37 40 42
2019-07-24	14	1st	4 13 16 32 40 43
2019-06-05	5	1st	4 8 17 18 26 40
2019-05-18	2	1st	4 7 23 29 34 39
2019-05-11	3	2nd	3 4 31 33 39 48
2019-05-01	19	1st	4 13 14 26 38 42
2019-02-23	5	1st	4 5 9 21 48 49
2019-02-06	2	1st	4 11 24 25 38 45
2019-01-30	1	1st	4 6 8 13 26 41
2019-01-26	2	1st	4 21 22 32 36 44
2019-01-19	5	1st	4 8 15 18 38 41
2019-01-02	1	1st	4 12 14 21 22 31
2018-12-29	1	1st	4 10 13 25 45 47
2018-12-26	9	1st	4 23 29 35 44 46
2018-11-24	6	1st	4 12 19 31 41 48
2018-11-03	5	1st	4 18 37 38 40 45
2018-10-17	3	2nd	1 4 7 19 29 41
2018-10-06	7	2nd	3 4 9 17 20 44
2018-09-12	4	2nd	1 4 21 31 43 47
2018-08-29	7	3rd	1 3 4 5 38 42
2018-08-04	6	1st	4 19 23 32 42 48
2018-07-14	2	1st	4 18 27 33 45 47
2018-07-07	8	1st	4 14 15 16 38 43
2018-06-09	5	1st	4 16 24 28 42 45
2018-05-23	11	1st	4 22 39 44 46 49
2018-04-14	15	1st	4 6 11 16 40 45
2018-02-21	2	1st	4 7 14 20 24 37
2018-02-14	9	2nd	2 4 17 25 30 45
2018-01-13	3	1st	4 8 13 37 42 48
2018-01-03	1	1st	4 14 18 24 27 40
2017-12-30	2	1st	4 5 9 23 40 41
2017-12-23	16	1st	4 6 13 34 38 44
2017-10-28	11	2nd	2 4 19 24 43 44
2017-09-20	9	1st	4 12 17 24 39 43
2017-08-19	10	1st	4 7 25 28 40 41
2017-07-15	16	1st	4 6 8 24 32 37
2017-05-20	2	1st	4 27 28 33 37 49
2017-05-13	2	2nd	1 4 13 24 31 43
2017-05-06	3	1st	4 10 27 29 33 48
2017-04-26	29	2nd	2 4 9 16 24 31
2017-01-14	7	1st	4 5 20 26 32 40
2016-12-21	9	1st	4 8 23 28 35 38
2016-11-19	9	1st	4 9 15 19 22 23
2016-10-19	10	1st	4 30 33 41 45 49
2016-09-14	29	2nd	1 4 8 20 46 49
2016-06-04	8	2nd	1 4 22 23 33 47
2016-05-07	7	1st	4 14 17 25 32 42
2016-04-13	24	2nd	2 4 10 12 38 46
2016-01-20	2	2nd	2 4 14 15 27 40
2016-01-13	10	1st	4 19 30 31 32 38
2015-12-09	9	1st	4 8 23 33 35 40
2015-11-07	14	2nd	1 4 7 13 29 31
2015-09-19	2	1st	4 7 15 35 36 48
2015-09-12	25	2nd	1 4 7 18 26 37
2015-06-17	8	1st	4 16 17 20 23 29
2015-05-20	11	2nd	1 4 25 39 44 46
2015-04-11	4	1st	4 19 21 28 45 49
2015-03-28	1	1st	4 16 31 32 38 44
2015-03-25	14	1st	4 26 29 31 35 41
2015-02-04	13	1st	4 9 10 15 30 36
2014-12-20	2	2nd	3 4 5 16 21 46
2014-12-13	12	1st	4 11 39 41 44 45
2014-11-01	3	2nd	1 4 5 10 41 45
2014-10-22	1	1st	4 10 17 20 29 34
2014-10-18	1	1st	4 5 12 21 38 39
2014-10-15	16	1st	4 18 23 27 38 39
2014-08-20	5	1st	4 16 31 32 33 49
2014-08-02	4	1st	4 8 10 40 42 45
2014-07-19	4	2nd	2 4 6 15 38 49
2014-07-05	1	2nd	1 4 10 17 41 43
2014-07-02	1	2nd	2 4 32 38 45 48
2014-06-28	15	1st	4 5 24 37 43 44
2014-05-07	12	2nd	3 4 10 15 36 42
2014-03-26	2	1st	4 8 15 16 28 45
2014-03-19	14	1st	4 29 39 47 48 49
2014-01-29	4	4th	1 2 3 4 27 46
2014-01-15	20	1st	4 11 21 25 31 37
2013-11-06	3	1st	4 11 27 32 43 46
2013-10-26	8	1st	4 5 13 26 34 39
2013-09-28	1	1st	4 16 24 40 43 49
2013-09-25	9	1st	4 8 20 31 46 48
2013-08-24	10	1st	4 19 26 27 40 44
2013-07-20	9	1st	4 8 41 43 47 48
2013-06-19	10	4th	1 2 3 4 32 42
2013-05-15	5	2nd	1 4 19 24 32 38
2013-04-27	17	1st	4 12 27 38 43 47
2013-02-27	9	1st	4 10 20 25 27 42
2013-01-26	19	1st	4 18 21 24 35 42
2012-11-21	7	1st	4 16 33 39 43 44
2012-10-27	1	1st	4 8 11 16 40 43
2012-10-24	8	1st	4 13 22 32 35 44
2012-09-26	5	1st	4 18 22 33 38 47
2012-09-08	11	1st	4 7 9 16 18 48
2012-08-01	12	1st	4 9 22 29 47 48
2012-06-20	7	1st	4 13 20 22 24 34
2012-05-26	15	1st	4 7 16 24 43 47
2012-04-04	9	2nd	2 4 17 24 42 43
2012-03-03	3	1st	4 13 14 23 29 48
2012-02-22	7	1st	4 10 12 24 31 44
2012-01-28	2	1st	4 7 8 9 12 40
2012-01-21	3	1st	4 16 17 43 47 48
2012-01-11	5	1st	4 8 10 22 30 47
2011-12-24	18	1st	4 7 9 21 25 35
2011-10-22	11	2nd	3 4 15 16 28 41
2011-09-14	6	1st	4 13 21 43 44 48
2011-08-24	33	1st	4 7 16 22 33 42
2011-04-30	2	3rd	2 3 4 27 33 49
2011-04-23	6	1st	4 5 30 35 42 46
2011-04-02	6	2nd	1 4 22 25 26 31
2011-03-12	7	1st	4 10 11 15 23 43
2011-02-16	1	1st	4 8 24 32 40 41
2011-02-12	10	1st	4 6 27 29 32 40
2011-01-08	9	1st	4 6 7 13 21 38
2010-12-08	4	2nd	3 4 12 26 30 37
2010-11-24	3	1st	4 6 14 15 29 31
2010-11-13	3	1st	4 11 16 23 30 34
2010-11-03	4	1st	4 5 6 19 39 45
2010-10-20	6	1st	4 7 27 34 38 43
2010-09-29	6	1st	4 7 22 30 33 37
2010-09-08	4	1st	4 12 19 20 30 49
2010-08-25	13	2nd	1 4 9 39 42 45
2010-07-10	2	2nd	3 4 27 34 38 48
2010-07-03	23	2nd	2 4 12 14 21 29
2010-04-14	—	1st	4 10 13 17 21 30

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

Megabucks · every number