Wednesday, 1 June 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 15, 24, 40) with the draw of 28 June 2017 — its closest relative in 1,268 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 71% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 May 2022): 15, 18 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 113 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.