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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · WI · ball game
Latest drawSaturday, 10 October 2026
Jackpot$2,700,000
Top prizeNot won — 18 draws unwon
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 11 Oct 2026, 08:36 UTC.
6 numbers from 1–49. 1,724 draws held here since 2010-04-07.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Megabucks come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Megabucks already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 1,724 draws every number is expected about 211 times, and a ball favoured by more than 27% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 8 draws on average; 4% of the time it waits 25 or more. It is never “due”.

The 6 numbers add up to about 150, give or take 33. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

49.5% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

1,176 possible pairs, each expected together 22.0 times so far — and about 12 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 49 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

56% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 10.1% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 7.1 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 35 draws for every one of the 49 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

13,983,816 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 1,724 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 7, the highest near 43. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

6/49 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 41% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 210 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 6/49 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 6-of-49 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 211 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,723 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (17, 35, 45) with the draw of 12 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,723 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2026): 18 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 132 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈311k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,493 winners, 0% more than the 5.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 6 | 0 | $2,700,000 |
| Match 5 | 7 | $500 |
| Match 4 | 302 | $30.00 |
| Match 3 | 5,493 | $2.00 |
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
These waits do not fall away from zero the way the law does — they pile up in the middle. That is what happens when the chance of a win is not the same on every draw of a run: few tickets are sold when the prize is small, and so many when it is enormous that a win becomes close to certain. The wait is more predictable than a constant chance allows, and less predictable than it feels.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–8 | 0 | 0.6 |
| 9–17 | 0 | 0.5 |
| 18–26 | 1 | 0.4 |
| 27–35 | 0 | 0.3 |
| 36–44 | 1 | 0.2 |
| 45–53 | 0 | 0.2 |
| 54–62 | 1 | 0.2 |
| 63–71 | 0 | 0.1 |
| 72–80 | 0 | 0.1 |
| 81–89 | 0 | 0.1 |
| 90+ | 0 | 0.3 |
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,723 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 211 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,722 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (3, 5, 26) with the draw of 25 April 2026 — its closest relative in 1,722 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 93 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 211 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,721 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (19, 37, 42, 45) with the draw of 20 August 2022 — its closest relative in 1,721 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 185 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 65% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 211 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,720 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 13, 20, 40) with the draw of 6 April 2024 — its closest relative in 1,720 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 September 2026): 21 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 137 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,719 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (21, 23, 25, 49) with the draw of 26 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,719 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 September 2026): 49 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 170 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24, 24–25. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,718 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 17, 22, 49) with the draw of 18 April 2012 — its closest relative in 1,718 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 September 2026): 11, 26 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 156 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,717 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 11, 24, 33) with the draw of 13 September 2025 — its closest relative in 1,717 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 127 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,716 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 27, 41, 46) with the draw of 20 November 2013 — its closest relative in 1,716 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 172 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →13 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 56% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,715 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (35, 42, 43, 48) with the draw of 18 June 2011 — its closest relative in 1,715 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 September 2026): 35 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 196 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →43 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 64% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,714 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 23, 28, 35) with the draw of 21 December 2016 — its closest relative in 1,714 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 146 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,713 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (14, 27, 45, 49) with the draw of 1 November 2025 — its closest relative in 1,713 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 177 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,712 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 6 numbers (15, 19, 23, 28) with the draw of 7 February 2026 — its closest relative in 1,712 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 August 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 145 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →