In Lotto 6aus49 under the 6/49 + 1/9 · since Sep 2024 rules — 213 draws, 6 from 1–49.
20times drawn · chance expected 26 −1.27σ
18draws waiting · a wait this long: 11% for any number
9.9average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
43longest completed wait · 8% chance of one at least that long
43 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 20 times in 213 draws against 26.1 expected, −1.27σ. Each draw is independent: after 18 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
43
Number 43, draw by draw
Drawn 20 times in 213 draws · average wait 9.9 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 18 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 43 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 43 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 43 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.