In Lotto 6aus49 under the 6/49 + 1/9 · since Sep 2024 rules — 213 draws, 6 from 1–49.
21times drawn · chance expected 26 −1.06σ
14draws waiting · a wait this long: 18% for any number
9.6average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
39longest completed wait · 13% chance of one at least that long
22 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 21 times in 213 draws against 26.1 expected, −1.06σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
22
Number 22, draw by draw
Drawn 21 times in 213 draws · average wait 9.6 draws · longest completed wait 39 · waiting 14 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 4 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 5 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.