In Lotto 6aus49 under the 6/49 + 1/9 · since Sep 2024 rules — 213 draws, 6 from 1–49.
23times drawn · chance expected 26 −0.64σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 77% for any number
9.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
23longest completed wait · 72% chance of one at least that long
10 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 23 times in 213 draws against 26.1 expected, −0.64σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
10
Number 10, draw by draw
Drawn 23 times in 213 draws · average wait 9.4 draws · longest completed wait 23 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 4 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.