Saturday, 26 October 2024

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (8, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 October 2024 — its closest relative in 9 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 October 2024): 49 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 142 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.