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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Québec 49 under the 6/49 · since May 2025 rules — 145 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 7 times in 145 draws against 17.8 expected, −2.72σ. Testing all 49 numbers at once means about 0.5 should look this way by luck alone, so the threshold tightens to 2.0e-4 and this does not pass it.
Drawn 7 times in 145 draws · average wait 10.3 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 60 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 22 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 23 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-11-26 | 15 | 1st | 1210131548 |
| 2025-10-01 | 16 | 1st | 1910141837 |
| 2025-08-06 | — | 1st | 12130323847 |