Number 10

In Lottario under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.

16times drawn · chance expected 14 +0.49σ

9draws waiting · a wait this long: 32% for any number

6.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5

24longest completed wait · 43% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 16 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, +0.49σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 16 times in 107 draws · average wait 6.5 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 9 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 4.8
2nd smallest7 · chance 6.9
3rd smallest4 · chance 3.5
4th smallest1 · chance 0.7
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 24 1 25 28 35

Never drawn alongside 8 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 7 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-08	4	2nd	2 10 15 24 28 37
2026-07-11	11	1st	10 18 19 24 25 43
2026-04-25	2	2nd	6 10 13 21 24 35
2026-04-11	24	2nd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.