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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Lottario under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 9 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −1.50σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.
Drawn 9 times in 107 draws · average wait 10.3 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 14 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 16 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-07-19 | 22 | 3rd | 189101642 |
| 2025-02-15 | 1 | 1st | 91618274041 |
| 2025-02-08 | 2 | 2nd | 7917181924 |
| 2025-01-25 | 7 | 1st | 91213284045 |
| 2024-12-07 | — | 2nd | 5918344243 |