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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Lottario under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 12 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.64σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 4 times, counted separately.
Drawn 12 times in 107 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 4 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 10 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-09-27 | 6 | 3rd | 82130394045 |
| 2025-08-16 | 1 | 5th | 41228293044 |
| 2025-08-09 | 1 | 3rd | 91530323341 |
| 2025-08-02 | 1 | 3rd | 101330353839 |
| 2025-07-26 | 10 | 5th | 111218283044 |
| 2025-05-17 | 22 | 4th | 131528304243 |
| 2024-12-14 | 2 | 4th | 51925303236 |
| 2024-11-30 | — | 5th | 61315223045 |