Number 4

In Lottario under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.

10times drawn · chance expected 14 −1.21σ

11draws waiting · a wait this long: 24% for any number

8.8average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5

22longest completed wait · 37% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 10 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −1.21σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 10 times in 107 draws · average wait 8.8 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 11 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest10 · chance 6.9
2nd smallest0 · chance 2.8
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.3
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

27 18 21 28 6 8

Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-07-25	22	1st	4 18 20 22 27 28
2026-02-21	6	1st	4 6 11 22 36 37
2026-01-10	7	1st	4 13 16 18 27 35
2025-11-22	1	1st

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.