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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Lottario under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 14 times in 107 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 26 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 3 times, counted separately.
Drawn 14 times in 107 draws · average wait 6.1 draws · longest completed wait 15 · waiting 26 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 10 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-11-29 | 4 | 5th | 71112263840 |
| 2025-11-01 | 3 | 5th | 142031343840 |
| 2025-10-11 | 10 | 4th | 212325383943 |
| 2025-08-02 | 15 | 5th | 101330353839 |
| 2025-04-19 | 2 | 5th | 151618353840 |
| 2025-04-05 | 4 | 6th | 81529323638 |
| 2025-03-08 | 11 | 5th | 3810253839 |
| 2024-12-21 | 4 | 5th | 21018253843 |
| 2024-11-23 | 7 | 4th | 282933384345 |
| 2024-10-05 | — | 6th | 112433343638 |