In BC/49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2024 rules — 202 draws, 6 from 1–49.
29times drawn · chance expected 25 +0.92σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
7.2average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
23longest completed wait · 80% chance of one at least that long
3 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 29 times in 202 draws against 24.7 expected, +0.92σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 4 times, counted separately.
3
Number 3, draw by draw
Drawn 29 times in 202 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 23 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 2 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.