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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In BC/49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2024 rules — 202 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 21 times in 202 draws against 24.7 expected, −0.80σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 1 time, counted separately.
Drawn 21 times in 202 draws · average wait 9.3 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 13 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 25 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 5 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 25 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 25 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 21 | 4th | 136254148 |
| 2026-06-13 | 2 | 3rd | 152025303341 |
| 2026-06-06 | 22 | 3rd | 2925323941 |
| 2026-03-21 | 1 | 2nd | 222530343639 |
| 2026-03-18 | 5 | 4th | 21121253137 |
| 2026-02-28 | 5 | 4th | 6711252649 |
| 2026-02-11 | 9 | 4th | 101516253538 |
| 2026-01-10 | 8 | 4th | 21115252936 |
| 2025-12-13 | 22 | 2nd | 62536414243 |
| 2025-09-24 | 1 | 4th | 152224253840 |
| 2025-09-20 | 16 | 4th | 21520253036 |
| 2025-07-26 | 6 | 1st | 252829343539 |
| 2025-07-05 | 1 | 3rd | 72225384049 |
| 2025-07-02 | 15 | 1st | 252731444649 |
| 2025-05-10 | 8 | 3rd | 41625323745 |
| 2025-04-12 | 8 | 4th | 51623254048 |
| 2025-03-15 | 10 | 4th | 11221253547 |
| 2025-02-08 | 15 | 2nd | 62531373949 |
| 2024-12-18 | 9 | 3rd | 21925334749 |
| 2024-11-16 | 1 | 4th | 52122253349 |
| 2024-11-13 | — | 3rd | 62225303141 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 25 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.