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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In BC/49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2024 rules — 202 draws, 6 from 1–49.
Drawn 21 times in 202 draws against 24.7 expected, −0.80σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.
Drawn 21 times in 202 draws · average wait 9.5 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 5 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 3 | 1st | 22634354448 |
| 2026-09-19 | 3 | 1st | 2923283347 |
| 2026-09-09 | 20 | 1st | 2818222829 |
| 2026-07-01 | 3 | 1st | 2512224143 |
| 2026-06-20 | 4 | 1st | 2923414749 |
| 2026-06-06 | 23 | 1st | 2925323941 |
| 2026-03-18 | 19 | 1st | 21121253137 |
| 2026-01-10 | 3 | 1st | 21115252936 |
| 2025-12-31 | 6 | 1st | 2817192324 |
| 2025-12-10 | 16 | 1st | 2437383946 |
| 2025-10-11 | 6 | 1st | 21418444648 |
| 2025-09-20 | 28 | 1st | 21520253036 |
| 2025-06-14 | 1 | 1st | 21619384042 |
| 2025-06-11 | 20 | 1st | 248122021 |
| 2025-04-02 | 4 | 1st | 248232833 |
| 2025-03-19 | 7 | 1st | 24683646 |
| 2025-02-22 | 9 | 2nd | 1212333948 |
| 2025-01-22 | 9 | 1st | 2316404247 |
| 2024-12-21 | 1 | 2nd | 1216374043 |
| 2024-12-18 | 4 | 1st | 21925334749 |
| 2024-12-04 | — | 1st | 2511222933 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.