In BC/49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2024 rules — 202 draws, 6 from 1–49.
22times drawn · chance expected 25 −0.59σ
1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
8.9average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
26longest completed wait · 56% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 22 times in 202 draws against 24.7 expected, −0.59σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 4 times, counted separately.
1
Number 1, draw by draw
Drawn 22 times in 202 draws · average wait 8.9 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 4 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 5 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.