Number 10

In BC/49 under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Nov 2024 rules — 202 draws, 6 from 1–49.

18times drawn · chance expected 25 −1.45σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

11.7average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

35longest completed wait · 18% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 18 times in 202 draws against 24.7 expected, −1.45σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 8 times, counted separately.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 18 times in 202 draws · average wait 11.7 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest9 · chance 6.1
2nd smallest7 · chance 7.8
3rd smallest1 · chance 3.5
4th smallest1 · chance 0.7
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 14 21 32 33 6

Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 7 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-07	18	2nd	1 10 15 24 28 32
2026-08-05	4	1st	10 16 20 21 41 45
2026-07-22	5	1st	10 11 18 34 36 38
2026-07-04	35	1st	10

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.