Number 57

In New York Lotto under the 6/59 + 1/55 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2010 rules — 83 draws, 6 from 1–59 (an earlier era).

9times drawn · chance expected 8 +0.20σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 72% for any number

8.9average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8

22longest completed wait · 59% chance of one at least that long

57 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 9 times in 83 draws against 8.4 expected, +0.20σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 57, draw by draw

Drawn 9 times in 83 draws · average wait 8.9 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 57 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest1 · chance 1.4
6th smallest8 · chance 7.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

40 42 23 24 37 43

Never drawn alongside 23 of the other 58 numbers; chance expects about 27 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 57 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 59. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 57 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2010-10-02	5	6th	4 42 47 55 56 57
2010-09-15	3	6th	3 17 37 44 46 57
2010-09-04	2	6th	7 15 18 30 42 57

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 57 is drawn with probability 6/59 tonight whatever it did last week.