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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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New York Lotto · every number

58

Number 58

In New York Lotto under the 6/59 + 1/55 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2010 rules — 83 draws, 6 from 1–59 (an earlier era).

Main numbersStars6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 20106/59 + 1/55 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2010
7times drawn · chance expected 8 −0.52σ
6draws waiting · a wait this long: 58% for any number
11.5average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8
25longest completed wait · 38% chance of one at least that long
58 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 7 times in 83 draws against 8.4 expected, −0.52σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

58

Number 58, draw by draw

Drawn 7 times in 83 draws · average wait 11.5 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 6 draws now

6 draws: 2010-01-27 to 2010-02-1725 draws: 2010-02-17 to 2010-05-152 draws: 2010-05-15 to 2010-05-2218 draws: 2010-05-22 to 2010-07-2416 draws: 2010-07-24 to 2010-09-182 draws: 2010-09-18 to 2010-09-25Still waiting — at least 6 draws since 2010-09-252010-01-272010-02-172010-05-152010-05-222010-07-242010-09-182010-09-252010-01-022010-10-16

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 0 times2 draws: 2 times3 draws: 0 times4 draws: 0 times5 draws: 0 times6 draws: 1 time7 draws: 0 times8 draws: 0 times9 draws: 0 times10 draws: 0 times11 draws: 0 times12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 0 times15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 1 time17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 1 time26 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 58 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 5th smallest1 · chance 0.6
  • 6th smallest6 · chance 6.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

522231167

Never drawn alongside 28 of the other 58 numbers; chance expects about 32 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 58 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 59. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 58 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2010-09-2526th72537445258
2010-09-18166th212326425158
2010-07-24186th61227345358
← number 57Every numbernumber 59 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 58 is drawn with probability 6/59 tonight whatever it did last week.

2010-05-2226th11419225258
2010-05-15255th82028525859
2010-02-1766th182231495058
2010-01-27—6th133140525758