In Hoosier Lotto +PLUS under the 6/46 · since Apr 2022 rules — 466 draws, 6 from 1–46.
54times drawn · chance expected 61 −0.93σ
6draws waiting · a wait this long: 50% for any number
8.4average wait between appearances · chance says 7.7
39longest completed wait · 23% chance of one at least that long
40 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 54 times in 466 draws against 60.8 expected, −0.93σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
40
Number 40, draw by draw
Drawn 54 times in 466 draws · average wait 8.4 draws · longest completed wait 39 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 45 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 46. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/46 tonight whatever it did last week.