Wednesday, 15 February 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (19, 34, 45) with the draw of 16 July 2022 — its closest relative in 84 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 February 2023): 40 carried over. Chance says 59% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 154 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 141. No two numbers side by side. 52% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.