In Hoosier Lotto +PLUS under the 6/46 · since Apr 2022 rules — 466 draws, 6 from 1–46.
58times drawn · chance expected 61 −0.38σ
14draws waiting · a wait this long: 16% for any number
7.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.7
36longest completed wait · 35% chance of one at least that long
21 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 58 times in 466 draws against 60.8 expected, −0.38σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
21
Number 21, draw by draw
Drawn 58 times in 466 draws · average wait 7.9 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 14 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 45 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 46. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 6/46 tonight whatever it did last week.