In Hoosier Lotto +PLUS under the 6/46 · since Apr 2022 rules — 466 draws, 6 from 1–46.
63times drawn · chance expected 61 +0.31σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 7.7
27longest completed wait · 81% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 63 times in 466 draws against 60.8 expected, +0.31σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4
Number 4, draw by draw
Drawn 63 times in 466 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 27 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 45 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 46. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/46 tonight whatever it did last week.