In Hoosier Lotto +PLUS under the 6/46 · since Apr 2022 rules — 466 draws, 6 from 1–46.
71times drawn · chance expected 61 +1.41σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 76% for any number
6.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.7
34longest completed wait · 50% chance of one at least that long
15 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 71 times in 466 draws against 60.8 expected, +1.41σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
15
Number 15, draw by draw
Drawn 71 times in 466 draws · average wait 6.5 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 45 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 46. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/46 tonight whatever it did last week.