In Lotto under the 6/40 + 1/40 · since Oct 2024 rules — 208 draws, 6 from 1–40.
30times drawn · chance expected 31 −0.23σ
29draws waiting · a wait this long: 1% for any number
6.1average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
23longest completed wait · 56% chance of one at least that long
12 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 30 times in 208 draws against 31.2 expected, −0.23σ. Each draw is independent: after 29 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 5 times, counted separately.
12
Number 12, draw by draw
Drawn 30 times in 208 draws · average wait 6.1 draws · longest completed wait 23 · waiting 29 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.8 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.