In Lotto under the 6/40 + 1/40 · since Oct 2024 rules — 208 draws, 6 from 1–40.
32times drawn · chance expected 31 +0.16σ
1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
6.6average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
26longest completed wait · 42% chance of one at least that long
10 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 32 times in 208 draws against 31.2 expected, +0.16σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 6 times, counted separately.
10
Number 10, draw by draw
Drawn 32 times in 208 draws · average wait 6.6 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 39 numbers; chance expects about 0.6 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.