Number 15

In La Primitiva under the 6/49 + 1/49 · since Jan 2013 rules — 1,643 draws, 6 from 1–49.

206times drawn · chance expected 201 +0.36σ

12draws waiting · a wait this long: 24% for any number

8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

43longest completed wait · 57% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 206 times in 1,643 draws against 201.2 expected, +0.36σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 39 times, counted separately.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 206 times in 1,643 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 12 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest22 · chance 33.5
2nd smallest88 · chance 78.1
3rd smallest63 · chance 65.5
4th smallest25 · chance 24.6
5th smallest8 · chance 4.1
6th smallest0 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 21.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 37 3 12 16 39

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-14	19	2nd	3 15 32 35 39 40
2026-08-01	16	3rd	3 7 15 42 43 49
2026-06-25	6	3rd	3 10 15 33 37 40
2026-06-11	26	2nd	12

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-04-10	13	3rd	4 14 15 39 45 46
2025-03-10	2	3rd	4 7 15 37 48 49
2025-03-06	12	2nd	3 15 16 27 31 35
2025-02-06	5	3rd	11 14 15 16 23 25
2025-01-25	1	3rd	2 12 15 22 31 47
2025-01-23	1	3rd	2 12 15 19 26 41
2025-01-20	2	2nd	6 15 21 26 30 44
2025-01-16	3	3rd	5 11 15 37 41 48
2025-01-09	4	3rd	3 5 15 20 26 28
2024-12-30	8	1st	15 25 29 35 38 48
2024-12-12	12	5th	6 12 13 14 15 40
2024-11-14	2	3rd	7 14 15 23 24 39
2024-11-09	9	5th	2 4 6 14 15 42
2024-10-19	7	3rd	7 14 15 17 36 49
2024-10-03	3	4th	7 10 14 15 24 48
2024-09-26	10	3rd	5 13 15 17 19 47
2024-09-02	4	1st	15 16 34 35 38 39
2024-08-24	10	3rd	1 8 15 17 27 46
2024-08-01	24	4th	2 10 11 15 34 48
2024-06-06	5	3rd	5 14 15 42 44 49
2024-05-25	5	3rd	1 3 15 16 20 21
2024-05-13	11	2nd	10 15 19 20 27 49
2024-04-18	4	3rd	4 13 15 29 34 36
2024-04-08	13	1st	15 16 19 23 39 43
2024-03-09	13	4th	2 9 12 15 17 33
2024-02-08	1	4th	1 3 6 15 26 44
2024-02-05	11	3rd	3 5 15 34 39 42
2024-01-11	9	3rd	7 12 15 22 35 48
2023-12-21	10	2nd	11 15 29 43 46 48
2023-11-27	6	2nd	1 15 24 30 38 49
2023-11-13	1	3rd	5 12 15 36 41 43
2023-11-11	8	3rd	3 7 15 32 43 49
2023-10-23	2	2nd	6 15 17 32 33 49
2023-10-19	18	4th	1 5 8 15 28 33
2023-09-07	7	2nd	1 15 24 27 30 40
2023-08-21	4	2nd	11 15 17 20 37 46
2023-08-12	8	3rd	12 13 15 28 40 42
2023-07-24	2	3rd	5 13 15 23 29 35
2023-07-20	16	2nd	11 15 27 30 40 47
2023-06-12	2	1st	15 17 32 33 44 45
2023-06-08	8	3rd	1 9 15 17 39 42
2023-05-20	11	1st	15 25 28 33 38 47
2023-04-24	8	4th	1 10 11 15 30 42
2023-04-06	1	3rd	9 11 15 22 39 43
2023-04-03	9	3rd	5 12 15 24 28 29
2023-03-13	8	2nd	11 15 31 33 36 37
2023-02-23	5	4th	1 7 11 15 26 37
2023-02-11	10	2nd	8 15 26 29 33 37
2023-01-19	2	1st	15 23 27 36 39 48
2023-01-14	2	2nd	2 15 24 34 36 43
2023-01-09	15	1st	15 16 24 25 33 34
2022-12-05	3	3rd	5 11 15 25 28 47
2022-11-28	4	2nd	1 15 16 21 30 40
2022-11-19	4	4th	6 11 12 15 22 32
2022-11-10	8	2nd	10 15 16 25 28 30
2022-10-22	19	2nd	4 15 16 24 26 28
2022-09-08	7	3rd	3 10 15 28 34 39
2022-08-22	6	4th	6 11 14 15 19 22
2022-08-08	43	2nd	9 15 16 20 22 36
2022-03-26	2	5th	1 12 13 14 15 42
2022-03-19	5	4th	4 9 10 15 16 40
2022-03-03	1	3rd	3 10 15 20 22 48
2022-02-26	7	2nd	3 15 32 38 40 42
2022-02-03	12	2nd	11 15 17 22 27 37
2021-12-23	2	1st	15 17 23 32 44 45
2021-12-16	8	4th	4 10 14 15 22 45
2021-11-18	6	2nd	12 15 22 27 28 43
2021-10-28	1	3rd	5 8 15 17 34 45
2021-10-23	16	4th	1 3 12 15 29 47
2021-08-28	6	3rd	4 10 15 16 34 49
2021-08-07	8	3rd	2 3 15 22 36 40
2021-07-10	6	1st	15 20 21 25 32 42
2021-06-19	1	2nd	8 15 19 29 38 48
2021-06-17	8	2nd	8 15 21 25 37 42
2021-05-20	5	3rd	2 13 15 17 32 40
2021-05-01	3	1st	15 23 29 33 37 41
2021-04-22	21	2nd	8 15 19 23 27 33
2021-02-06	11	2nd	7 15 22 37 41 42
2020-12-31	11	4th	4 5 7 15 24 38
2020-11-21	16	2nd	8 15 17 32 36 45
2020-09-26	1	4th	7 10 14 15 26 46
2020-09-24	13	4th	3 10 13 15 31 48
2020-08-08	7	5th	3 9 12 14 15 46
2020-07-16	3	2nd	13 15 26 42 45 47
2020-07-04	5	4th	4 7 12 15 36 41
2020-06-18	5	2nd	9 15 17 18 37 46
2020-05-30	5	3rd	2 4 15 17 36 40
2020-03-12	2	2nd	13 15 16 27 38 49
2020-03-05	4	2nd	5 15 19 27 46 49
2020-02-20	5	2nd	3 15 18 23 31 39
2020-02-01	6	2nd	13 15 36 39 40 41
2020-01-11	21	3rd	13 14 15 23 24 41
2019-10-31	9	3rd	5 7 15 29 42 44
2019-09-28	19	2nd	10 15 21 22 42 43
2019-07-25	1	2nd	7 15 16 35 37 38
2019-07-20	4	1st	15 21 22 26 28 35
2019-07-06	6	3rd	9 14 15 22 26 48
2019-06-15	1	2nd	12 15 18 21 32 43
2019-06-13	4	2nd	12 15 21 30 44 47
2019-05-30	4	2nd	2 15 21 39 44 48
2019-05-16	1	2nd	1 15 27 29 31 33
2019-05-11	3	2nd	7 15 17 28 45 47
2019-05-02	2	4th	3 6 11 15 22 24
2019-04-25	3	2nd	4 15 16 21 28 42
2019-04-13	11	1st	15 18 21 29 40 47
2019-03-07	3	3rd	4 6 15 21 26 40
2019-02-23	13	2nd	7 15 28 29 38 48
2019-01-10	3	5th	6 10 13 14 15 28
2018-12-29	18	2nd	7 15 20 28 32 42
2018-10-27	4	2nd	8 15 16 34 40 42
2018-10-13	18	3rd	3 11 15 17 21 40
2018-08-11	1	3rd	10 13 15 16 24 43
2018-08-09	1	3rd	4 12 15 17 37 46
2018-08-04	11	2nd	6 15 35 37 45 48
2018-06-28	13	1st	15 28 31 32 38 49
2018-05-12	13	3rd	3 9 15 23 27 37
2018-03-29	6	2nd	2 15 17 19 26 38
2018-03-08	13	4th	2 9 12 15 26 31
2018-01-20	3	1st	15 23 28 36 39 47
2018-01-11	6	1st	15 24 29 32 36 46
2017-12-21	25	2nd	3 15 27 35 36 45
2017-09-23	1	2nd	9 15 18 23 37 41
2017-09-21	6	2nd	14 15 20 23 26 48
2017-08-31	20	2nd	4 15 20 35 39 41
2017-06-22	10	2nd	3 15 30 37 38 41
2017-05-18	12	2nd	8 15 16 19 27 47
2017-04-06	13	2nd	7 15 16 25 28 29
2017-02-18	7	2nd	5 15 19 21 29 39
2017-01-26	1	2nd	13 15 20 24 32 38
2017-01-21	12	3rd	4 9 15 29 37 45
2016-12-10	4	2nd	9 15 25 37 47 49
2016-11-26	2	3rd	3 14 15 19 20 28
2016-11-19	3	3rd	6 14 15 39 46 48
2016-11-10	5	3rd	2 8 15 22 28 48
2016-10-22	1	3rd	12 13 15 31 32 43
2016-10-20	8	3rd	5 7 15 18 20 21
2016-09-22	22	2nd	9 15 18 42 43 49
2016-07-07	1	2nd	7 15 20 23 29 34
2016-07-02	5	3rd	4 14 15 16 18 40
2016-06-16	7	3rd	8 9 15 19 21 49
2016-05-21	14	4th	7 10 13 15 35 38
2016-04-02	21	3rd	6 7 15 27 32 40
2016-01-21	4	2nd	4 15 17 19 24 37
2016-01-07	3	1st	15 24 31 38 41 46
2015-12-26	2	2nd	12 15 20 41 43 47
2015-12-19	9	3rd	7 8 15 16 34 35
2015-11-19	1	2nd	11 15 25 40 47 48
2015-11-14	6	3rd	13 14 15 32 40 49
2015-10-24	15	2nd	1 15 20 33 46 47
2015-09-03	7	3rd	3 7 15 37 38 46
2015-08-08	9	4th	3 9 13 15 25 28
2015-07-09	8	4th	6 7 14 15 25 43
2015-06-11	19	2nd	11 15 21 25 38 44
2015-04-04	5	2nd	11 15 16 21 27 33
2015-03-19	29	3rd	1 11 15 23 27 30
2014-12-06	12	4th	3 10 11 15 21 37
2014-10-25	1	2nd	8 15 23 35 36 37
2014-10-23	2	2nd	4 15 22 30 32 41
2014-10-16	30	1st	15 24 29 31 36 41
2014-07-03	1	4th	1 6 7 15 35 39
2014-06-28	7	1st	15 18 30 39 45 46
2014-06-05	7	2nd	10 15 16 19 20 48
2014-05-10	11	2nd	5 15 17 23 33 37
2014-04-03	4	2nd	13 15 18 22 41 48
2014-03-20	7	5th	4 7 12 14 15 49
2014-02-22	3	2nd	4 15 25 30 39 44
2014-02-13	10	2nd	1 15 18 34 45 46
2014-01-09	9	2nd	13 15 30 32 41 45
2013-12-07	3	2nd	12 15 16 19 20 39
2013-11-28	1	2nd	12 15 28 37 42 49
2013-11-23	19	3rd	7 12 15 23 39 46
2013-09-19	7	2nd	14 15 30 34 37 48
2013-08-24	2	5th	3 7 9 11 15 18
2013-08-17	29	2nd	13 15 20 25 28 49
2013-05-09	12	2nd	12 15 16 44 45 46
2013-03-28	2	2nd	13 15 18 33 39 45
2013-03-21	1	3rd	7 13 15 27 37 44
2013-03-16	1	5th	1 7 12 13 15 17
2013-03-14	7	2nd	10 15 24 30 39 45
2013-02-16	2	2nd	4 15 16 22 30 41
2013-02-09	11	3rd	1 3 15 24 43 44
2013-01-03	—	2nd	3 15 23 26 34 38